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Summary for Hurricane Lorenzo (AT3/AL132019)
2019-10-01 10:40:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LORENZO HAS WINDS NEAR 100 MPH... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE AZORES EARLY TOMORROW... As of 5:00 AM AST Tue Oct 1 the center of Lorenzo was located near 33.4, -39.7 with movement NE at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 962 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.
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Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory Number 36
2019-10-01 10:40:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 01 2019 000 WTNT23 KNHC 010840 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019 0900 UTC TUE OCT 01 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORES...CORVO...FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...TERCEIRA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAO MIGUEL...SANTA MARIA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 39.7W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT.......170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT.......270NE 300SE 240SW 220NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 420SE 480SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 39.7W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 40.5W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 35.9N 36.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 80NW. 50 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 240SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 40.2N 31.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 160SE 140SW 110NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 240SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 45.5N 24.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 50NW. 50 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 90NW. 34 KT...270NE 300SE 270SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 51.0N 18.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 80SE 80SW 30NW. 50 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW 90NW. 34 KT...300NE 330SE 330SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 56.5N 8.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 30NW. 34 KT...220NE 200SE 240SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 39.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 01/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane Lorenzo Public Advisory Number 36
2019-10-01 10:40:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Oct 01 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 010840 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Lorenzo Advisory Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132019 500 AM AST Tue Oct 01 2019 ...LORENZO HAS WINDS NEAR 100 MPH... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE AZORES EARLY TOMORROW... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.4N 39.7W ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM SW OF FLORES IN THE WESTERN AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Flores, Corvo, Faial, Pico, Sao Jorge, Graciosa, Terceira A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Sao Miguel, Santa Maria A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorenzo was located near latitude 33.4 North, longitude 39.7 West. Lorenzo is moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h). The hurricane should move in the same general direction but at a faster forward speed during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Lorenzo is expected to pass near the western Azores early on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Only slow weakening is expected during the next 48 hours. Lorenzo is a very large tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb (28.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Lorenzo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area early Wednesday morning, with tropical storm conditions beginning tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area by early Wednesday. RAINFALL: Lorenzo is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 mm) over the western Azores and up to 1 inch (25 mm) over the central Azores Tuesday and Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by Lorenzo are spreading across much of the North Atlantic basin. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions, especially across the Azores. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Hurricane Lorenzo Graphics
2019-10-01 07:51:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2019 05:51:06 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2019 03:24:36 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Lorenzo (AT3/AL132019)
2019-10-01 07:50:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LORENZO MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE AZORES EARLY WEDNESDAY... As of 2:00 AM AST Tue Oct 1 the center of Lorenzo was located near 32.8, -40.5 with movement NE at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 956 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.
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