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Tropical Storm Franklin Forecast Advisory Number 6

2017-08-08 04:41:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 08 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 080240 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072017 0300 UTC TUE AUG 08 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM PUERTO DE VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO RIO PANUCO. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED SOUTHWARD FROM CAMPECHE TO SABANCUY... AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED WEST OF SABANCUY TO EAST OF PUERTO DE VERACRUZ. THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO DE VERACRUZ TO RIO PANUCO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO SABANCUY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM SABANCUY TO PUERTO DE VERACRUZ A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 87.3W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 45SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 87.3W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 86.6W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.7N 88.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.2N 91.1W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.5N 93.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.6N 95.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.0N 100.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 87.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Storm Franklin Graphics

2017-08-08 01:43:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 07 Aug 2017 23:43:10 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 07 Aug 2017 21:26:06 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Franklin (AT2/AL072017)

2017-08-08 01:42:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...FRANKLIN APPROACHING THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... As of 7:00 PM CDT Mon Aug 7 the center of Franklin was located near 18.8, -86.5 with movement NW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Tropical Storm Franklin Public Advisory Number 5A

2017-08-08 01:42:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 700 PM CDT Mon Aug 07 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 072341 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 700 PM CDT Mon Aug 07 2017 ...FRANKLIN APPROACHING THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.8N 86.5W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM E OF CHETUMAL MEXICO ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SSE OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Punta Allen A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Belize City northward to the border of Mexico * The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Campeche A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Campeche to Sabancuy Interests elsewhere around the Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress of this system. A Hurricane Watch may be required for a portion of the southwestern Gulf coast of Mexico this evening. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 86.5 West. Franklin is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a west-northwestward to westward motion is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center will continue to approach the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula this evening and make landfall overnight. Franklin is then expected to move across the Yucatan peninsula on Tuesday, and into the Bay of Campeche Tuesday evening or Tuesday night. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is still possible before the center reaches the Yucatan peninsula, and Franklin could be near hurricane intensity at landfall on the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure based on aircraft reconnaissance data is 995 mb (29.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts of around 12 inches, are possible across the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico and Belize through Wednesday, with the highest amounts over the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in portions of the warning area over the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Mexico on Tuesday. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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