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Tropical Storm Franklin Public Advisory Number 7
2017-08-08 10:44:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Tue Aug 08 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 080843 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Franklin Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 400 AM CDT Tue Aug 08 2017 ...FRANKLIN WEAKENS OVER THE INTERIOR OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.3N 88.5W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NNW OF CHETUMAL MEXICO ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Rio Panuco A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Belize City northward to the Belize/Mexico border * The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Sabancuy A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Sabancuy to Puerto de Veracruz A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was located by the Belize Weather Service Doppler radar to be near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 88.5 West. Franklin is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A west-northwestward to westward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin will continue to move across the Yucatan peninsula through today, and emerge over the Bay of Campeche tonight. Franklin will then move westward across the Bay of Campeche on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected while Franklin moves across the Yucatan peninsula today. Restrengthening is forecast to begin tonight and Wednesday while Franklin moves over the Bay of Campeche. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. Wind gusts to 47 mph (76 km/h) in squalls have been measured during the past couple of hours by NOAA Buoy 42056, located more than 200 miles east-northeast of Franklin's center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts of around 12 inches, are possible across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and Belize through Wednesday, with the highest amounts over the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. In addition, Franklin is expected to bring 4 to 8 inches of rainfall with isolated amounts up to 15 inches through Thursday to northern Veracruz, Puebla, Tlaxcala, Hidalgo, and eastern San Louis Potosi in eastern Mexico. These rains will be capable of producing life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely still occurring over portions of the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula. These conditions should spread westward across the remainder of the warning area today and diminish along the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula later this morning. Hurricane or tropical storm conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area by late Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area tonight and Wednesday. STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 foot above normal tide levels along the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula early this morning. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Water levels are expected to diminish after sunrise. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Franklin Forecast Advisory Number 7
2017-08-08 10:40:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 08 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 080840 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072017 0900 UTC TUE AUG 08 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO DE VERACRUZ TO RIO PANUCO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO SABANCUY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM SABANCUY TO PUERTO DE VERACRUZ A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 88.5W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 40SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 88.5W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 87.9W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.7N 90.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.1N 92.4W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.3N 94.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.2N 96.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.7N 101.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 88.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm Franklin Graphics
2017-08-08 08:02:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 08 Aug 2017 06:02:27 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 08 Aug 2017 03:26:28 GMT
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Tropical Storm Franklin Public Advisory Number 6A
2017-08-08 07:54:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Tue Aug 08 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 080554 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 100 AM CDT Tue Aug 08 2017 ...FRANKLIN MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 88.0W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM NNE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM ESE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Rio Panuco A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Belize City northward to the Belize/Mexico border * The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Sabancuy A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Sabancuy to Puerto de Veracruz A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was located by the Belize City Doppler weather radar to be near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 88.0 West. Franklin is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A west-northwestward to westward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin will move across the Yucatan peninsula through today, and emerge over the Bay of Campeche tonight. Franklin will then continue westward across the Bay of Campeche on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected while Franklin moves across the Yucatan peninsula today. Restrengthening is forecast to begin tonight and Wednesday while Franklin moves over the Bay of Campeche. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts of around 12 inches, are possible across the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico and Belize through Wednesday, with the highest amounts over the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring over portions of the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula and should spread westward across the remainder of the warning area today. Hurricane or tropical storm conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area by late Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area tonight and Wednesday. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 feet above normal tide levels along the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula early this morning. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Water levels are expected to diminish after sunrise. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart/Landsea
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Summary for Tropical Storm Franklin (AT2/AL072017)
2017-08-08 06:03:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...FRANKLIN POISED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA VERY SOON... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE... As of 11:00 PM CDT Mon Aug 7 the center of Franklin was located near 19.1, -87.5 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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