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Summary for Hurricane MANUEL (EP3/EP132013)
2013-09-19 16:39:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MANUEL MAKES LANDFALL WEST OF CULIACAN MEXICO... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Sep 19 the center of MANUEL was located near 25.0, -107.8 with movement N at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 987 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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Hurricane MANUEL Public Advisory Number 21
2013-09-19 16:39:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 191439 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 800 AM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 ...MANUEL MAKES LANDFALL WEST OF CULIACAN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.0N 107.8W ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SE OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SE OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ RADAR DATA FROM GUASAVE MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE EYE OF MANUEL MADE LANDFALL WEST OF CULIACAN SHORTLY AFTER 500 AM PDT. AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MANUEL WAS LOCATED JUST INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST. MANUEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY....AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOW THAT MANUEL HAS MOVED OVER LAND...WEAKENING WILL BEGIN SOON...AND MANUEL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF MEXICO BY FRIDAY NIGHT. MANUEL IS A SMALL HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INLAND WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MANUEL IS ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE STATE OF NAYARIT. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE MANUEL MADE LANDFALL. THE STORM SURGE WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Hurricane MANUEL Forecast Advisory Number 21
2013-09-19 16:39:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 191438 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 107.8W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 40SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 107.8W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.4N 107.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.9N 107.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 26.5N 107.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 107.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Hurricane MANUEL Graphics
2013-09-19 13:45:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 19 Sep 2013 11:45:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 19 Sep 2013 09:05:25 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane MANUEL (EP3/EP132013)
2013-09-19 13:43:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MANUEL MEANDERING NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO... As of 5:00 AM PDT Thu Sep 19 the center of MANUEL was located near 24.8, -108.1 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 987 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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manuel
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