je.st

Home › oscar

Tag: oscar

Hurricane Oscar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2018-10-31 03:32:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 31 2018 000 FONT11 KNHC 310232 PWSAT1 HURRICANE OSCAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162018 0300 UTC WED OCT 31 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OSCAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Tags: number speed wind oscar

Hurricane Oscar Forecast Advisory Number 17

2018-10-31 03:31:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 31 2018 000 WTNT21 KNHC 310231 TCMAT1 HURRICANE OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162018 0300 UTC WED OCT 31 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 55.2W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT.......130NE 110SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 330SE 450SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 55.2W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 56.0W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 35.6N 52.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 40.2N 48.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 44.3N 44.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 70SE 60SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 140SE 140SW 100NW. 34 KT...330NE 330SE 360SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 48.2N 38.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 140SE 140SW 100NW. 34 KT...330NE 330SE 360SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 55.2N 24.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 50NW. 34 KT...420NE 480SE 480SW 420NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 61.0N 12.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...MERGED WITH LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N 55.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Tags: number oscar advisory forecast

Summary for Hurricane Oscar (AT1/AL162018)

2018-10-31 03:31:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...OSCAR CONTINUES ACCELERATING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...HIGH SURF EXPECTED ALONG BERMUDA BEACHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY... As of 11:00 PM AST Tue Oct 30 the center of Oscar was located near 32.8, -55.2 with movement NE at 22 mph. The minimum central pressure was 979 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

Tags: summary oscar hurricane at1al162018

Hurricane Oscar Public Advisory Number 17

2018-10-31 03:31:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 30 2018 000 WTNT31 KNHC 310231 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Oscar Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162018 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 30 2018 ...OSCAR CONTINUES ACCELERATING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...HIGH SURF EXPECTED ALONG BERMUDA BEACHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.8N 55.2W ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Oscar was located near latitude 32.8 North, longitude 55.2 West. Oscar is moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h). A faster north- northeast to northeast motion is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight weakening is forecast during the next several days, but Oscar is expected to become a powerful post-tropical low over the north-central Atlantic Ocean by late Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Oscar will affect Bermuda through Wednesday. Please consult products from your local weather office, as these conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: number public oscar advisory