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Hurricane Hector Graphics

2018-08-02 16:26:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 02 Aug 2018 14:26:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 02 Aug 2018 14:26:25 GMT

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Hurricane Hector Public Advisory Number 8

2018-08-02 16:25:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT Thu Aug 02 2018 821 WTPZ35 KNHC 021425 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Hurricane Hector Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102018 800 AM PDT Thu Aug 02 2018 ...HECTOR NOW AN 85-MPH HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 124.6W ABOUT 1135 MI...1825 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Hector was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 124.6 West. Hector is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next few days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Hurricane Hector Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2018-08-02 16:25:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 02 2018 820 FOPZ15 KNHC 021425 PWSEP5 HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 1500 UTC THU AUG 02 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 77 X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 10N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 130W 34 X 36(36) 52(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 15N 130W 50 X 2( 2) 47(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 43(76) X(76) X(76) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 33(39) X(39) X(39) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) 10N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 10N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 37(63) 1(64) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) X(32) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) X(18) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 10N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 34(61) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 25(35) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Hurricane Hector Forecast Advisory Number 8

2018-08-02 16:24:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 02 2018 673 WTPZ25 KNHC 021424 TCMEP5 HURRICANE HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 1500 UTC THU AUG 02 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 124.6W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 124.6W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 124.0W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.3N 126.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.3N 128.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.2N 131.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.0N 133.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.6N 138.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 13.8N 143.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 14.5N 148.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 124.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Summary for Hurricane Hector (EP5/EP102018)

2018-08-02 15:56:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HECTOR NOW AN 85-MPH HURRICANE... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Aug 2 the center of Hector was located near 14.2, -124.6 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 987 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.

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