je.st
news
Tag: vicente
Summary for Tropical Depression Vicente (EP3/EP232018)
2018-10-23 10:37:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...VICENTE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND AND DISSIPATE OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF MICHOACAN LATER TODAY... As of 4:00 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 the center of Vicente was located near 17.2, -102.0 with movement NNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
vicente
Tropical Depression Vicente Public Advisory Number 16
2018-10-23 10:37:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 230837 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Vicente Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018 400 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018 ...VICENTE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND AND DISSIPATE OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF MICHOACAN LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 102.0W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Vicente. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Vicente was located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 102.0 West. Vicente is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the center of Vicente is expected to move inland over the Mexican state of Michoacan later today. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Vicente is expected to dissipate later today or tonight after it has moved inland over Mexico. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through today over portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico. This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and landslides within mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Vicente Forecast Advisory Number 16
2018-10-23 10:37:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 23 2018 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 230837 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION VICENTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 0900 UTC TUE OCT 23 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF VICENTE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 102.0W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 102.0W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 101.7W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.2N 103.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 102.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Storm Vicente Graphics
2018-10-23 04:50:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 23 Oct 2018 02:50:43 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 23 Oct 2018 03:21:55 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
vicente
Tropical Storm Vicente Forecast Discussion Number 15
2018-10-23 04:49:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 230249 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Vicente Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018 1000 PM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018 Although conventional satellite imagery is unimpressive tonight, a pair of microwave passes indicate there is probably still a low-level circulation remaining with Vicente. The center is located between the main convective band to the south, and sporadic cells north of the center. All of the intensity estimates that I have suggest the intensity is no lower than 35 kt, so the initial wind speed will stay 35 kt. Continued northeasterly shear will very likely cause Vicente to weaken soon, and this is the solution presented by most of the guidance. The new NHC track forecast shows Vicente coming ashore as a tropical depression tomorrow over Mexico, most similar to the GFS model. Vicente is moving northwestward, or 320/11 kt. The system should move a little faster and to the right between the mid-level ridge over the Gulf of Mexico and the southeastern portion of the circulation of Willa. The official track forecast is a bit east of the previous one, in line with the latest guidance. The 24-hour position is simply a placeholder to get Vicente inland because the cyclone will probably dissipate not long after it reaches land due to the high terrain. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0300Z 16.4N 102.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 23/1200Z 17.9N 103.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 24/0000Z 19.5N 104.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] next »