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Remnants of Nadine Forecast Advisory Number 16
2018-10-13 04:31:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 13 2018 000 WTNT25 KNHC 130231 TCMAT5 REMNANTS OF NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 0300 UTC SAT OCT 13 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 39.5W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 39.5W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 38.5W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 39.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Storm Nadine Graphics
2018-10-12 22:34:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 12 Oct 2018 20:34:27 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 12 Oct 2018 21:28:09 GMT
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Tropical Storm Nadine Forecast Discussion Number 15
2018-10-12 22:33:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 000 WTNT45 KNHC 122033 TCDAT5 Tropical Storm Nadine Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018 500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 The center of Nadine is now completely exposed to the west of a waning area of deep convection due to 35-40 kt of southwesterly shear. Based on a blend of the latest Dvorak CI and Final-T numbers from TAFB and SAB, the initial intensity has been reduced to 35 kt. This could be a little generous, but hopefully ASCAT will sample the system later this evening to provide a better idea of how much the winds have weakened. The NHC intensity forecast has been lowered from the previous one, and now shows Nadine becoming a depression by 12 hours and a remnant low by 24 hours, but both could happen sooner. The now shallow cyclone has turned west-northwestward, with an initial motion estimate of 285/13. Nadine and its remnants should move quickly westward in the low-level trade wind flow until dissipation. The new NHC track is close to the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/2100Z 16.4N 37.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 13/0600Z 16.5N 39.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 13/1800Z 16.7N 42.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Summary for Tropical Storm Nadine (AT5/AL152018)
2018-10-12 22:32:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...WEAKENING NADINE EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SATURDAY... As of 5:00 PM AST Fri Oct 12 the center of Nadine was located near 16.4, -37.7 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Nadine Public Advisory Number 15
2018-10-12 22:32:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 000 WTNT35 KNHC 122032 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018 500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 ...WEAKENING NADINE EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.4N 37.7W ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 37.7 West. Nadine is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A motion toward the west at a similar forward speed is expected tonight through dissipation. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Nadine is expected to weaken to a remnant low by Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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