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Summary for Tropical Storm Nadine (AT5/AL152018)
2018-10-11 16:45:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NADINE WEAKENING IN A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT... As of 11:00 AM AST Thu Oct 11 the center of Nadine was located near 14.1, -34.0 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm Nadine Public Advisory Number 10
2018-10-11 16:45:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 11 2018 000 WTNT35 KNHC 111445 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 11 2018 ...NADINE WEAKENING IN A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 34.0W ABOUT 645 MI...1035 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 34.0 West. Nadine is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest with a similar forward speed is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the west by the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Nadine is forecast to degenerate into a trough of low pressure over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Storm Nadine Forecast Advisory Number 10
2018-10-11 16:45:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 000 WTNT25 KNHC 111445 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 1500 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 34.0W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 30SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 34.0W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 33.7W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.8N 34.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.5N 36.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.9N 38.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.2N 40.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 34.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Storm Nadine Graphics
2018-10-11 10:51:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 11 Oct 2018 08:51:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 11 Oct 2018 08:51:59 GMT
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Tropical Storm Nadine Forecast Discussion Number 9
2018-10-11 10:50:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Oct 11 2018 000 WTNT45 KNHC 110850 TCDAT5 Tropical Storm Nadine Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018 500 AM AST Thu Oct 11 2018 Nadine is a sheared tropical storm with the low-level center located near the western edge of the main area of deep convection. An ASCAT pass from several hours ago showed maximum winds in the 50-55 kt range, and since the satellite appearance has not changed much, the initial intensity is held at 55 kt. This value is near the high end of the satellite-based intensity estimates. The environment near Nadine is expected to become even more hostile during the next couple of days due to the combined effects of strong west- southwesterly shear and drier air. Therefore, steady weakening is forecast, and dissipation is expected to occur in 2 to 3 days when the shear is forecast to be in excess of 30 kt. The models are in good agreement, and little change was made to the previous NHC intensity forecast. The storm is moving northwestward at 7 kt. The track forecast reasoning is unchanged from previous advisories. Nadine is expected to continue moving northwestward for about another day while the tropical storm remains relatively deep, or vertically coherent. After that time, the weakening and increasingly shallow cyclone is forecast to turn to the left in the low-level flow, and that motion should continue until the system dissipates. The NHC track forecast lies near the middle of the guidance envelope, and it is not too different than the previous one. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0900Z 14.1N 33.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 11/1800Z 14.9N 34.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 12/0600Z 15.7N 35.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 12/1800Z 16.3N 37.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 13/0600Z 16.7N 39.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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