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Summary for Tropical Storm Nadine (AT5/AL152018)

2018-10-12 10:46:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...NADINE UNRAVELING...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WEEKEND... As of 5:00 AM AST Fri Oct 12 the center of Nadine was located near 15.2, -35.5 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm Nadine Public Advisory Number 13

2018-10-12 10:46:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 000 WTNT35 KNHC 120846 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018 500 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 ...NADINE UNRAVELING...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 35.5W ABOUT 740 MI...1190 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the partially exposed center of Tropical Storm Nadine was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 35.5 West. Nadine is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A west-northwestward to westward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Nadine is expected to dissipate by Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Tropical Storm Nadine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

2018-10-12 10:46:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 000 FONT15 KNHC 120846 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM NADINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 0900 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NADINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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Tropical Storm Nadine Forecast Advisory Number 13

2018-10-12 10:45:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 000 WTNT25 KNHC 120845 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 0900 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 35.5W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 35.5W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 35.4W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.4N 37.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.6N 39.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.8N 42.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 35.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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