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Summary for Tropical Storm Nadine (AT5/AL152018)
2018-10-11 10:50:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NADINE FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING SOON... As of 5:00 AM AST Thu Oct 11 the center of Nadine was located near 14.1, -33.3 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
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Tropical Storm Nadine Public Advisory Number 9
2018-10-11 10:50:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Oct 11 2018 000 WTNT35 KNHC 110850 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018 500 AM AST Thu Oct 11 2018 ...NADINE FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING SOON... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 33.3W ABOUT 595 MI...960 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 33.3 West. Nadine is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is anticipated to continue during the next day or so. A turn toward the west-northwest or west is forecast to occur on Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Nadine is forecast to degenerate into a trough of low pressure over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Nadine Forecast Advisory Number 9
2018-10-11 10:50:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 000 WTNT25 KNHC 110850 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 0900 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 33.3W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 33.3W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 33.1W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.9N 34.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 10SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.7N 35.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.3N 37.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.7N 39.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 33.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm Nadine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2018-10-11 10:50:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 000 FONT15 KNHC 110850 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM NADINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 0900 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NADINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tropical Storm Nadine Forecast Advisory Number 8
2018-10-11 04:51:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 000 WTNT25 KNHC 110251 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 0300 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 32.7W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 32.7W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 32.5W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.3N 33.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 10SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.3N 34.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.0N 36.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.5N 37.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 32.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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