je.st
news
Tag: iselle
Summary for Hurricane ISELLE (EP4/EP092014)
2014-08-02 04:35:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ISELLE BECOMES A HURRICANE... As of 8:00 PM PDT Fri Aug 1 the center of ISELLE was located near 14.7, -127.3 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
Tags: summary
hurricane
iselle
ep4ep092014
Hurricane ISELLE Public Advisory Number 6
2014-08-02 04:35:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT FRI AUG 01 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 020235 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE ISELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092014 800 PM PDT FRI AUG 01 2014 ...ISELLE BECOMES A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 127.3W ABOUT 1270 MI...2040 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.3 WEST. ISELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.30 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
Tags: number
public
advisory
hurricane
Tropical Storm ISELLE Graphics
2014-08-01 11:14:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 01 Aug 2014 08:49:43 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 01 Aug 2014 09:06:31 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
tropical storm
Tropical Storm ISELLE Forecast Discussion Number 3
2014-08-01 10:48:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT FRI AUG 01 2014 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 010848 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM ISELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092014 200 AM PDT FRI AUG 01 2014 Iselle is continuing on an intensification trend with very deep convection in a central dense overcast feature. A recent AMSU microwave pass also suggests that the inner core has become better defined, with perhaps a partial eyewall in the eastern semicircle. The initial wind speed is raised to 50 kt based on an ASCAT-B pass from 0507 UTC. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further strengthening over the next couple of days with light-to-moderate northeasterly shear and warm water. Although the SHIPS-RI index has decreased somewhat from the last cycle, rapid intensification remains a possibility, especially given the recent development of inner core features. The NHC forecast is raised from the previous one, on the higher side of the guidance envelope close to the SHIPS and FSSE models. After 48 hours, Iselle should be moving into a more stable environment near cooler SSTs. Thus, a gradual weakening is forecast, near or slightly above the intensity consensus. Iselle continues to move to the west-northwest while it remains to the south of the subtropical ridge. Global models are in excellent agreement on this general track for the next 3 days while the ridge persists. After that time, the track uncertainty greatly increases due to a trough digging into the eastern Pacific, near or east of the forecast longitude of Iselle. With many varying solutions from the global models, it makes sense to stay close to the track consensus, which generally moves Iselle westward at long range. Since this consensus is near the last NHC prediction, the new forecast is basically unchanged from 6 hours ago. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0900Z 13.5N 124.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 01/1800Z 14.1N 125.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 02/0600Z 14.8N 127.6W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 02/1800Z 15.3N 129.4W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 03/0600Z 15.8N 131.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 04/0600Z 16.5N 134.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 05/0600Z 16.8N 137.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 06/0600Z 17.0N 140.5W 50 KT 60 MPH $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm ISELLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2014-08-01 10:48:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 010847 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM ISELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092014 0900 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Sites : [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] [41] next »