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Tropical Storm Lidia Public Advisory Number 8
2017-08-31 16:38:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Thu Aug 31 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 311438 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lidia Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142017 900 AM MDT Thu Aug 31 2017 ...CENTER OF LIDIA APPROACHING THE CABO SAN LUCAS AREA... ...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.3N 109.7W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Warning for the Baja California peninsula to cover the area from Punta Abreojos to Mulege. The Government of Mexico has also issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the Pacific coast of the Baja California peninsula north of Punta Abreojos to Punta Eugenia, for the east coast of the Baja California peninsula north of Mulege to Bahia De Los Angeles, and for the Mexican mainland north of Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Baja California Sur from Puerto Cortes to east of La Paz A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Baja California peninsula from Puerto Abreojos to Mulege * Mainland Mexico from Bahia Tempehuaya to Bahia Kino A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Baja California peninsula north of Punta Abreojos to Punta Eugenia * Baja California peninsula north of Mulege to Bahia De Los Angeles * Mainland Mexico north of Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in western Mexico and the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 109.7 West. Lidia is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday, with a turn toward the northwest expected Friday night. On the forecast track, the center of Lidia will be near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula during the next several hours, and will move over the peninsula through Friday night. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today. Weakening is expected tonight through Friday night as the center moves over the Baja California peninsula. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. A Mexican automated station near Cabo San Lucas recently reported a sustained wind of 59 mph (95 km/h) and a wind gust of 78 mph (126 km/h) at an elevation of 735 ft (224 m). The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Lidia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches across the Mexican states of Baja California Sur into Baja California and western Jalisco, with isolated maximum totals of 20 inches. In the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Nayarit, Colima, southern Michoacan, southern Sonora and central Jalisco, rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are expected. These rains are expected to cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are spreading over the southern portion of Baja California Sur at this time. These conditions should spread northward across the warning area today through Friday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area late today. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in mainland Mexico starting later today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas late Friday or Friday night. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds on the southern portion of Baja California Sur. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Lidia are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern and western Mexico and southern portions of Baja California Sur, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Lidia Forecast Advisory Number 8
2017-08-31 16:38:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 31 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 311438 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017 1500 UTC THU AUG 31 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO COVER THE AREA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO MULEGE. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA...FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES...AND FOR THE MEXICAN MAINLAND NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO CORTES TO EAST OF LA PAZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO ABREOJOS TO MULEGE * MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO BAHIA KINO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA * BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES * MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 109.7W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 109.7W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 109.6W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.3N 110.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.6N 111.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.1N 112.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 27.6N 113.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 30.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 30.5N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 30.5N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 109.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Lidia Graphics
2017-08-31 13:33:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 31 Aug 2017 11:33:48 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 31 Aug 2017 09:29:47 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Lidia (EP4/EP142017)
2017-08-31 13:32:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...LIDIA MOVING TOWARD THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... ...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR THROUGH THE DAY... As of 6:00 AM MDT Thu Aug 31 the center of Lidia was located near 21.7, -109.5 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Lidia Public Advisory Number 7A
2017-08-31 13:32:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 AM MDT Thu Aug 31 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 311132 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lidia Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142017 600 AM MDT Thu Aug 31 2017 ...LIDIA MOVING TOWARD THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... ...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR THROUGH THE DAY... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.7N 109.5W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Baja California Sur from Puerto Cortes to east of La Paz A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Baja California Sur from Puerto San Andresito to Loreto * mainland Mexico from Bahia Tempehuaya to Guaymas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Baja California Sur north of Puerto San Andresito to Punta Abreojos * Baja California Sur north of Loreto to Bahia San Juan Bautista * mainland Mexico north of Guaymas to Bahia Kino A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in western Mexico and the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located near latitude 21.7 North, longitude 109.5 West. Lidia is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through midday Friday. A turn toward the northwest at a faster forward speed is expected by Friday night. On the forecast track, the center of Lidia will be near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula this afternoon, and it will move over the peninsula Friday and Friday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast before Lidia's center reaches the Baja California peninsula. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Lidia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches across the Mexican states of Baja California Sur and western Jalisco, with isolated maximum totals of 20 inches. In the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Nayarit, Colima, southern Michoacan, southern Sonora, and central Jalisco, rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are expected. These rains are expected to cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area in Baja California Sur later this morning, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area late today. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in mainland Mexico starting later today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas late Friday. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds on the southern portion of Baja California Sur. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Lidia are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern and western Mexico and southern portions of Baja California Sur, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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