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Summary for Tropical Storm Lidia (EP4/EP142017)
2017-08-31 22:32:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...CENTER OF LIDIA JUST SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... As of 3:00 PM MDT Thu Aug 31 the center of Lidia was located near 22.7, -110.1 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
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Tropical Storm Lidia Public Advisory Number 9
2017-08-31 22:32:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Thu Aug 31 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 312031 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lidia Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142017 300 PM MDT Thu Aug 31 2017 ...CENTER OF LIDIA JUST SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.7N 110.1W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Warning for the Baja California peninsula to cover the area from Punta Eugenia to Bahia San Juan Bautista. The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the Baja California peninsula north of Punta Eugenia to San Juan De Las Palomas, and north of Bahia De Los Angeles to Isla San Luis. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Baja California Sur from Puerto Cortes to east of La Paz A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Bahia San Juan Bautista * Mainland Mexico from Bahia Tempehuaya to Bahia Kino A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Baja California peninsula north of Punta Eugenia to San Juan De Las Palomas * Baja California peninsula north of Bahia San Juan Bautista to Isla San Luis * Mainland Mexico north of Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in western Mexico and the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of Lidia. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located near latitude 22.7 North, longitude 110.1 West. Lidia is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Friday. A turn toward the northwest is expected Friday night. On the forecast track, the center of Lidia will pass near or over the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula during the next few hours, and then will move over the peninsula through Friday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible this evening. Thereafter, weakening is forecast as the center moves over the Baja California peninsula. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) mainly to the east of the center. Surface observations indicate that tropical-storm conditions are occurring over the southern end of the Baja California peninsula. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Lidia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches across the Mexican states of Baja California Sur into Baja California and western Jalisco, with isolated maximum totals of 20 inches. In the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Nayarit, Colima, southern Michoacan, southern Sonora and central Jalisco, rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are expected. These rains are expected to cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over the southern portion of Baja California Sur at this time. These conditions should spread northward across the warning area tonight through Friday night. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area during the next several hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in mainland Mexico starting in the next several hours. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas Friday night or Saturday. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds on the southern portion of Baja California Sur. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Lidia are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern and western Mexico and southern portions of Baja California Sur, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Lidia Forecast Advisory Number 9
2017-08-31 22:32:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 31 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 312031 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017 2100 UTC THU AUG 31 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO COVER THE AREA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JUAN DE LAS PALOMAS...AND NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO ISLA SAN LUIS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUERTO CORTES TO EAST OF LA PAZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA * MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO BAHIA KINO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JUAN DE LAS PALOMAS * BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO ISLA SAN LUIS * MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LIDIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 110.1W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 110.1W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.8N 110.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.2N 111.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.8N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 28.2N 114.4W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 30.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 30.5N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 30.5N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 110.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Lidia Graphics
2017-08-31 19:42:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 31 Aug 2017 17:42:16 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 31 Aug 2017 15:34:30 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Lidia (EP4/EP142017)
2017-08-31 19:41:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...LIDIA STRENGTHENING AS THE CENTER NEARS CABO SAN LUCAS... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... As of 12:00 PM MDT Thu Aug 31 the center of Lidia was located near 22.5, -110.0 with movement NNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
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