je.st
news
Tag: rosa
Summary for Tropical Storm Rosa (EP5/EP202018)
2018-09-26 10:42:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ROSA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY... As of 3:00 AM MDT Wed Sep 26 the center of Rosa was located near 15.5, -110.4 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
rosa
tropical
Tropical Storm Rosa Public Advisory Number 5
2018-09-26 10:42:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Wed Sep 26 2018 279 WTPZ35 KNHC 260842 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rosa Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202018 300 AM MDT Wed Sep 26 2018 ...ROSA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 110.4W ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rosa was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 110.4 West. Rosa is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue for the next two to three days. A turn to the northwest is expected by Friday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is anticipated, and Rosa is forecast to become a hurricane later today and a major hurricane on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Rosa will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula late this week and over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
public
storm
rosa
Tropical Storm Rosa Forecast Advisory Number 5
2018-09-26 10:41:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 26 2018 722 WTPZ25 KNHC 260841 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 0900 UTC WED SEP 26 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 110.4W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 110.4W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 109.9W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.9N 111.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.2N 113.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.8N 116.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.3N 119.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.7N 120.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 23.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 110.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
storm
rosa
advisory
Tropical Storm Rosa Graphics
2018-09-26 04:41:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 26 Sep 2018 02:41:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 26 Sep 2018 03:22:02 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
rosa
tropical
Tropical Storm Rosa Forecast Discussion Number 4
2018-09-26 04:39:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Tue Sep 25 2018 649 WTPZ45 KNHC 260239 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Rosa Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202018 900 PM MDT Tue Sep 25 2018 Satellite imagery indicates that Rosa is still strengthening. The tropical storm has impressive banding features that wrap cyclonically from the northwest to northeast quadrant, though a dry slot has recently been observed infringing on the storm's developing inner-core. The most recent Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB are 55 kt, so the initial intensity has been raised to that value. All of the intensity guidance suggests that rapid intensification (RI) is either already underway or imminent. SSMIS imagery from around 2300 UTC appeared to confirm the onset of RI with the development of a small low-level eye-like feature that has been associated with rapid intensification in past tropical cyclones. Although more recent imagery indicates this feature may have been disrupted by the aforementioned dry slot, the models suggest that this disruption may not last long. The NHC forecast therefore continues to show RI, and now calls for Rosa to become a major hurricane in about 36 h. Beyond that time, the hurricane is expected to remain in a fairly favorable environment through Friday, however, eyewall replacement cycles could limit the extent to which Rosa intensifies once it nears major hurricane strength. By the weekend, cooler SSTs and a drier surrounding environment should cause Rosa to begin weakening. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous advisory, and is generally close to HCCA, especially beyond 48 h. Rosa is moving steadily west-northwestward, or 285/8 kt. A mid- level ridge to the north of Rosa should keep the cyclone on the same general heading for the next several days. There is still some large discrepancies between the global models on the strength of the ridge for the next few days, resulting in differences in the forward speed of Rosa during that time. By the end of the week, a large mid-latitude trough is expected to create a weakness in the ridge, allowing Rosa to turn northwestward, and possibly northward. The NHC track forecast will continue to follow the TVCE and HCCA consensus aids for this advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 15.1N 109.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 26/1200Z 15.5N 110.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 27/0000Z 16.0N 112.5W 85 KT 100 MPH 36H 27/1200Z 16.3N 114.1W 100 KT 115 MPH 48H 28/0000Z 16.6N 115.8W 105 KT 120 MPH 72H 29/0000Z 17.8N 119.0W 110 KT 125 MPH 96H 30/0000Z 20.0N 120.4W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 01/0000Z 22.0N 121.0W 75 KT 85 MPH $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: number
discussion
storm
rosa
Sites : [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] next »