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Tropical Storm Xavier Public Advisory Number 13
2018-11-05 21:34:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM MST Mon Nov 05 2018 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 052033 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Xavier Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018 200 PM MST Mon Nov 05 2018 ...XAVIER WEAKENING WHILE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED... SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.0N 106.9W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 106.9 West. Xavier is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and an increase in forward speed is expected by tonight. A westward motion is forecast by early Tuesday, continuing through Thursday. On the forecast track, Xavier's center will continue moving farther away from the southwestern coast of Mexico. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Xavier is expected to degenerate into a remnant low tonight or on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Xavier will continue to affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico through tonight and should subside on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Xavier Forecast Advisory Number 13
2018-11-05 21:33:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON NOV 05 2018 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 052033 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM XAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP252018 2100 UTC MON NOV 05 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 106.9W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 106.9W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 106.5W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.2N 107.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.3N 108.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.3N 110.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.1N 111.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 112.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 106.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm Xavier Graphics
2018-11-05 18:44:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Nov 2018 17:44:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Nov 2018 15:21:51 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Xavier (EP5/EP252018)
2018-11-05 18:44:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...XAVIER GRADUALLY PULLING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY SHOWERS WINDING DOWN ALONG THE COASTS OF COLIMA AND JALISCO... As of 11:00 AM MST Mon Nov 5 the center of Xavier was located near 18.7, -106.5 with movement WNW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm Xavier Public Advisory Number 12A
2018-11-05 18:44:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM MST Mon Nov 05 2018 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 051743 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Xavier Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018 1100 AM MST Mon Nov 05 2018 ...XAVIER GRADUALLY PULLING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY SHOWERS WINDING DOWN ALONG THE COASTS OF COLIMA AND JALISCO... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM MST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.7N 106.5W ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM MST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 106.5 West. Xavier is moving a little bit faster toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and an additional increase in forward speed is expected later today. A westward motion is forecast by early Tuesday, continuing through Thursday. On the forecast track, Xavier's center is expected to continue moving farther away from the southwestern coast of Mexico today. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Xavier is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Xavier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco, with isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches possible. This rainfall may produce flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are still possible within the warning area during the next few hours. SURF: Swells generated by Xavier will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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