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Summary for Tropical Storm Xavier (EP5/EP252018)
2018-11-04 21:40:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...XAVIER MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OFF THE COASTS OF COLIMA AND JALISCO... ...HEAVY SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 3:00 PM CST Sun Nov 4 the center of Xavier was located near 18.1, -105.5 with movement N at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Xavier Public Advisory Number 9
2018-11-04 21:40:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM CST Sun Nov 04 2018 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 042039 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Xavier Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP252018 300 PM CST Sun Nov 04 2018 ...XAVIER MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OFF THE COASTS OF COLIMA AND JALISCO... ...HEAVY SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 105.5W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 105.5 West. Xavier is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the northwest and west-northwest at a similar forward speed is expected tonight and on Monday, followed by a westward motion by Tuesday. On the forecast track, Xavier's center is expected to remain offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico and begin to move farther away from the coast tonight and on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Xavier is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Xavier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco through Monday. Isolated maximum amounts of 4 inches are possible over Michoacan and Colima. This rainfall may produce flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area through early Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Xavier will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST. Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Xavier Forecast Advisory Number 9
2018-11-04 21:39:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN NOV 04 2018 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 042039 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM XAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP252018 2100 UTC SUN NOV 04 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA... MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 105.5W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......130NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 105.5W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 105.4W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.7N 106.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.2N 107.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.5N 108.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.6N 109.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.4N 111.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 105.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm Xavier Graphics
2018-11-04 18:42:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 04 Nov 2018 17:42:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 04 Nov 2018 15:21:53 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Xavier (EP5/EP252018)
2018-11-04 18:42:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... As of 12:00 PM CST Sun Nov 4 the center of Xavier was located near 17.8, -105.4 with movement N at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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