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Hurricane Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 16
2020-10-28 15:48:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 28 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 281448 TCMAT3 HURRICANE ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 1500 UTC WED OCT 28 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY...LOUISIANA IS DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO NAVARRE FLORIDA * LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...PENSACOLA BAY AND MOBILE BAY A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 91.7W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 91.7W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 91.8W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 30.1N 89.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 35.3N 83.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 39.1N 74.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 140SE 140SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 41.5N 63.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 210SE 210SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 91.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 28/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Trend Forecast for Future Key Colors
2020-10-28 14:41:29| Happi Breaking News
WSGN and Coloro announce five color predictions for Autumn/Winter 2022/2023.
Hess Posts Wider-than-expected Q3 Loss, Cuts Annual Production Forecast
2020-10-28 14:01:23| OGI
U.S. oil and gas producer Hess Corp. reported a wider-than-expected loss on Oct. 28 and slightly lowered its full year production forecast, as its operations were affected by hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and lower production in South East Asia.
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Hurricane Zeta Forecast Discussion Number 15
2020-10-28 10:00:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 280900 TCDAT3 Hurricane Zeta Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 400 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020 The satellite presentation of Zeta has improved significantly overnight with deep convection wrapping around an eye that at times as been fairly well defined. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft that has just began its reconnaissance mission into Zeta has reported a pressure that has fallen to 982 mb and a 25-30 n-mi-wide eye during it first pass through the center. It is somewhat surprising that the plane did not report stronger winds during its northeast eyewall pass given the improved satellite presentation, and using a blend of the aircraft data and recent objective and subjective satellite estimates yields and initial intensity of 75 kt. It is possible the winds have yet to catch up to the improved satellite appearance, but since Zeta will moving over warm waters and in a light wind shear environment this morning some additional strengthening is likely. Although cooler waters and increasing southwesterly upper-level winds over the northern Gulf of Mexico are likely to cause the cyclone's intensity to level-off or even come down slightly, Zeta is expected to reach the northern Gulf coast as significant hurricane by late this afternoon. The NHC intensity forecast is at the upper-end of the guidance, a little above the latest HWRF prediction. After landfall, Zeta will weaken while it moves over the southeastern United States, but the cyclone is forecast to become an extratropical gale-force low pressure area off the Mid-Atlantic coast Thursday night. The post-tropical cyclone should be absorbed by frontal boundary over the western Atlantic on Friday. Zeta has turned north-northwestward and has begun to accelerate as anticipated. A vigorous upper-level low moving into west Texas will cause Zeta to accelerate north-northeastward today, which will bring the center of the hurricane over southeastern Louisiana by late this afternoon. The cyclone is expected to continue to accelerate ahead of the trough over the southeastern United States tonight and Thursday. The dynamical model are in very good agreement and the latest NHC track is a blend of the various global models. The new track forecast is very close the previous official forecast. Given Zeta's acceleration near landfall, strong winds are likely to spread well inland along the northern Gulf coast this evening and tonight. KEY MESSAGES: 1. A life-threatening storm surge is expected along portions of the northern Gulf Coast by late today, with the highest inundation occurring somewhere between the Mouth of the Pearl River and Dauphin Island, Alabama. Residents in the Storm Surge Warning area should follow any advice given by local officials. 2. Hurricane conditions are expected this afternoon within portions of the Hurricane Warning area between Morgan City, Louisiana, and the Mississippi/Alabama border. Damaging winds, especially in gusts, will spread well inland across portions of southeast Mississippi and southern and central Alabama tonight due to Zeta's fast forward speed. 3. Through Thursday, heavy rainfall is expected from portions of the central U.S. Gulf Coast into the Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley, Southern to Central Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic States near and in advance of Zeta. This rainfall will lead to flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/0900Z 25.1N 91.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 28/1800Z 27.9N 91.1W 85 KT 100 MPH 24H 29/0600Z 32.8N 87.5W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND 36H 29/1800Z 37.5N 79.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 30/0600Z 40.5N 67.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
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Hurricane Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 15
2020-10-28 09:54:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 28 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 280854 TCMAT3 HURRICANE ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 0900 UTC WED OCT 28 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO NAVARRE FLORIDA * LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...PENSACOLA BAY AND MOBILE BAY A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 91.8W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 91.8W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 91.5W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 27.9N 91.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.8N 87.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.5N 79.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 40.5N 67.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 210SE 210SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 91.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 28/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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