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Hurricane Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 9
2020-10-26 21:41:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 262041 TCMAT3 HURRICANE ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO NAVARRE FLORIDA INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN... VERMILION BAY...PENSACOLA BAY AND MOBILE BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PINAR DEL RIO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TULUM TO DZILAM MEXICO * COZUMEL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH OF TULUM TO PUNTA ALLEN MEXICO * WEST OF DZILAM TO PROGRESO MEXICO A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO NAVARRE FLORIDA * LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...VERMILION BAY...PENSACOLA BAY AND MOBILE BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA * WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 86.0W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 86.0W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 85.6W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.5N 87.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.1N 89.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.2N 91.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.8N 91.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 30.8N 88.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 35.0N 83.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 42.0N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 86.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Zeta Forecast Discussion Number 8
2020-10-26 15:50:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 261450 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Zeta Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 1000 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020 After a significant strengthening episode early this morning, Zeta appears to have changed little in intensity recently. High spatial and temporal resolution GOES-16 visible satellite images indicate that the low-level center of the storm is located near the northwestern edge of the main area of vigorous deep convection. The current intensity estimate is held at 60 kt which is the average of recent Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Zeta in a few hours, and should provide a better estimate of the strength of the storm. Zeta is moving northwestward, or about 305/9 kt. A mid-level high pressure area centered just east of Florida should steer the tropical cyclone on a continued northwestward heading for the next day or so, taking center over the northern part of the Yucatan Peninsula. By around 48 hours, Zeta is expected to turn northward over the Gulf along the western side of the high. Afterward, a shortwave trough moving into the southern Plains should induce a turn toward the north-northeast and take the center inland over the southern United States. The system should then move fairly quickly northeastward across the eastern U.S. and emerge into the Atlantic by day 4. The official track forecast has been adjusted a bit to the west of the previous one but not quite as far west as the corrected model consensus. Zeta is apparently experiencing some north-northwesterly shear given the displacement of the low-level center from the convection. However, this shear is expected to abate very soon, and the cyclone is likely to strengthen into a hurricane before reaching the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula. Some weakening should occur while Zeta interacts with land during the next 12 to 24 hours. The atmospheric and oceanic environment should be somewhat conducive while the system moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico in a day or two, and the official forecast shows some re-strengthening in 24-36 hours. Later in the forecast period, when Zeta approaches the northern Gulf Coast, cooler shelf waters and some increase in southwesterly shear could cause some weakening. The official intensity forecast is similar to the previous ones and shows Zeta still near hurricane strength at landfall along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast, which is near or above most of the model guidance. Zeta is likely to become an extratropical cyclone when it emerges into the Atlantic, and be absorbed by a frontal system around the end of the forecast period. Given the timing of the track and the forecast wind radii, watches will likely be required for a portion of the northern Gulf Coast later today. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Hurricane conditions and dangerous storm surge are expected in portions of the northern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico tonight and early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions could occur over extreme western Cuba beginning later today. 2. Through Tuesday, heavy rainfall is expected from Zeta across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, the Cayman Islands, and central to western Cuba. This rainfall may lead to flash flooding in urban areas. Between Tuesday night and Thursday, heavy rainfall is expected from portions of the central U.S. Gulf Coast into the southern Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic States near and in advance of Zeta. This rainfall will lead to flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding. 3. Zeta is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday, and there is an increasing risk of dangerous storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of Zeta, as Hurricane and Storm Surge watches will likely be issued later today. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/1500Z 19.1N 85.3W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 20.1N 86.7W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 27/1200Z 21.5N 88.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 28/0000Z 23.3N 90.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 28/1200Z 25.7N 91.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 60H 29/0000Z 28.9N 90.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 29/1200Z 33.0N 87.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 96H 30/1200Z 40.0N 73.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 8
2020-10-26 15:48:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 261448 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 1500 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TULUM TO DZILAM MEXICO * COZUMEL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PINAR DEL RIO CUBA * SOUTH OF TULUM TO PUNTA ALLEN * WEST OF DZILAM TO PROGRESO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 85.3W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 85.3W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 84.8W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N 86.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.5N 88.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 90.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.7N 91.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 28.9N 90.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 33.0N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 40.0N 73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 85.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Zeta Forecast Discussion Number 6
2020-10-26 03:44:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 260244 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Zeta Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 1100 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020 The tropical storm continues to produce deep convection on its south side, with the low-level center estimated to be near the northern edge of the thunderstorms. The last pass from the NOAA Hurricane Hunters a few hours ago indicated that the minimum pressure had fallen to 997 mb, and since the storm appears better organized than before the initial intensity is nudged up to 50 kt. This intensity estimate is slightly above the latest Dvorak numbers. The NOAA Hurricane Hunters are planning to be in Zeta again overnight and that data will be helpful in assessing the storm's intensity and structure. Zeta has not moved much during the past several hours, and the initial motion is a very slow north-northwest drift. As ridging begins to build over and near Florida, Zeta is forecast to move faster to the northwest overnight and Monday, and that should take the center of the cyclone near or over the northeastern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula in about 24 hours. The ridge is then expected to shift eastward over the western Atlantic on Tuesday and Wednesday as a large and quite powerful mid- to upper-level low moves eastward across the southwest and south-central United States. This change in the steering pattern should cause Zeta to accelerate northward toward the northern Gulf Coast, and likely make landfall there on Wednesday. The models remain in poor agreement on the details of the evolution of the steering pattern and consequently, there is about a 300 n mi spread in the landfall locations from the various models, which currently spans the region from the far western Florida panhandle to western Louisiana. The NHC track forecast is a little west of the previous one trending toward the middle of the guidance envelope. Based on the poor model agreement, the confidence in the track forecast is lower than normal. It is hoped that data being collected by the NOAA Gulfstream jet flying around Zeta and special NWS weather balloon launches will help the models come into better agreement on the future track of Zeta soon. Given the low wind shear conditions, moist air mass, and high oceanic heat content over the northwestern Caribbean, steady strengthening seems likely until Zeta reaches the Yucatan Peninsula by late Monday. The cyclone is expected to be a hurricane at landfall in Mexico, and the new forecast shows a slightly higher intensity there based on the new models and favorable conditions. The models differ on how long the core of Zeta will be inland over the Yucatan, but in general, it seems likely that significant weakening won't occur given the storm's expected increasing forward speed. The overall environmental conditions are anticipated to remain generally favorable while Zeta moves across the southern Gulf of Mexico, but there should be an increase in shear when it reaches the central Gulf and the cyclone will then be moving over the cooler shelf waters over the northern Gulf. The combination of the stronger shear and cooler waters should cause Zeta to level off in strength and perhaps weaken slightly before the U.S. landfall. The intensity models are in fair agreement, and the NHC forecast lies near the HCCA and IVCN consensus models. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Hurricane conditions and storm surge are expected in portions of the northern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico Monday night and early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions could occur over extreme western Cuba on Monday. 2. Through Wednesday, heavy rainfall is expected from Zeta across portions of central and western Cuba, the Cayman Islands, Jamaica, the northeast Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, southern Florida and the Keys. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding in urban areas. 3. Zeta is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday, and there is an increasing risk of storm surge, rainfall, and wind impacts from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of Zeta and updates to the forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 18.1N 83.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 26/1200Z 18.9N 84.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 27/0000Z 20.2N 86.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 27/1200Z 21.8N 88.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 28/0000Z 24.0N 90.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 28/1200Z 27.1N 91.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 29/0000Z 31.1N 89.6W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND 96H 30/0000Z 38.7N 78.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 6
2020-10-26 03:43:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 260243 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 0300 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TULUM TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO * COZUMEL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PINAR DEL RIO CUBA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 83.8W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 83.8W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 83.6W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.9N 84.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.2N 86.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.8N 88.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 24.0N 90.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 27.1N 91.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 31.1N 89.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 100SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 38.7N 78.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 83.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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