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Tropical Storm Laura Forecast Advisory Number 14
2020-08-23 10:58:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 230858 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020 0900 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA HABANA...AND ARTEMISA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI * THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE * THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA HABANA...AND ARTEMISA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS * ANDROS ISLAND * FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS * FLORIDA BAY * CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 70.9W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 0SE 0SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 70.9W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 70.1W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.8N 73.7W...OVER WATER WINDWARD PASSAGE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.9N 77.5W...INLAND EASTERN CUBA MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.2N 81.1W...INLAND WESTERN CUBA MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.5N 84.2W...OVER WATER SE GULF OF MEXICO MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.9N 87.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.4N 89.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 29.9N 92.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 35.0N 91.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 70.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm Marco Forecast Discussion Number 12
2020-08-23 10:58:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 230858 TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Marco Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142020 400 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2020 Thunderstorm bursts continue to fire near the center of Marco, then weaken an hour or two later due to persistent shear. Overall, the storm's appearance hasn't changed with nearly all of the deep convection very near or northeast of the center. Although the satellite presentation is somewhat lacking at the moment, the earlier Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission found believable SFMR values to 60 kt, so that value remains the initial wind speed. The intensity forecast remains tricky with Marco due to its small size and marginal environment. There are some models that briefly relax the shear today, which will likely be enough of a change to allow Marco to reach hurricane strength. Later on, while the cyclone is near the coast of Louisiana, the shear is forecast to increase, but it is unknown exactly how close to landfall this will occur. Our best forecast at this time is that the strongest winds will be confined to the coast, and that Marco will then weaken faster than most hurricanes do over the swamps of Louisiana due to the shear. No significant changes were made to the intensity forecast, which is very close to the model consensus. The new forecast necessitates the issuance of hurricane warnings for portions of southeastern Louisiana. Marco continues moving north-northwestward or 335/11 kt. This general track and speed is likely today, with a turn to the northwest and decrease in forward speed expected as the storm weakens late Monday. While the track forecast is essentially unchanged from the previous one, there is still a fair bit of spread in the model guidance, likely tied to the intensity forecast. The stronger guidance is near or northeast of the new model consensus, due to the upper-level flow, and the NHC forecast leans in that direction, close to the previous official prediction. Key Messages: 1. Hurricane conditions, life-threatening storm surge, and heavy rainfall are expected from Marco along portions of the Gulf Coast beginning on Monday, and Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings have been issued. Interests in these areas should follow any advice given by local government officials. 2. Tropical Storm Laura could bring additional storm surge, rainfall, and wind impacts to portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast by the middle of next week. This could result in a prolonged period of hazardous weather for areas that may also be affected by Marco. Interests there should monitor the progress of Marco and Laura and updates to the forecast during the next few days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0900Z 23.7N 87.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 23/1800Z 25.3N 87.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 24/0600Z 27.3N 88.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 24/1800Z 29.0N 89.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 25/0600Z 29.9N 91.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 60H 25/1800Z 30.5N 93.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 72H 26/0600Z 31.0N 95.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 96H 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Storm Marco Forecast Advisory Number 12
2020-08-23 10:55:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 230855 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARCO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020 0900 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI. A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF LOUISIANA FROM MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LOUISIANA FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA FOR MARCO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR.... * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI * LAKE BORGNE A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABINE PASS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA * OCEAN SPRINGS TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND MOBILE BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO WEST OF MORGAN CITY * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN, LAKE MAUREPAS, AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 87.0W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 10SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 87.0W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 86.7W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.3N 87.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 10SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.3N 88.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.0N 89.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 29.9N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.5N 93.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 31.0N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 87.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 23/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Storm Marco Forecast Discussion Number 11
2020-08-23 04:45:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 230245 TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Marco Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142020 1000 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2020 Marco has taken on distinctly sheared appearance. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane, microwave imagery, and radar imagery from Cuba all indicate that deep convection is limited to the east side of the tropical storm and that it no longer has a nearly closed eyewall. The degradation of Marco's structure appears to be primarily due to strong upper-level southwesterly flow. Despite the shear, the plane still measured SFMR winds near 55 kt and the intensity is held at that value. Marco is a small tropical storm and will be susceptible to rapid changes in structure and intensity until it reaches the northern Gulf Coast. Such systems are often not very resilient in a high-shear environment, however even a brief relaxation of the shear could result in quick strengthening. It would not be surprising if Marco's intensity evolves in step-wise fashion consisting of periods of arrested development followed by fast strengthening if/when the shear relaxes. While the statistical models still show Marco becoming a hurricane within 24 h, the run-to-run consistency of the dynamical guidance remains poor. The latest HWRF, HMON and GFS forecasts show Marco weakening as it approaches the northern Gulf Coast, and this remains a distinct possibility if the shear remains consistently high. The NHC intensity forecast has not been changed substantially, in large part due to the low confidence of the forecast, and is consequently above all of the guidance at 36 and 48 h when Marco is forecast to be near the northern Gulf Coast. Additional adjustments to the forecast are likely on Sunday. In sharp contrast to earlier today, no large changes were made to the track forecast, though that should not be interpreted as an increase in forecast confidence. Marco is forecast to move north-northwestward and approach the northern Gulf Coast on Monday. As it moves inland and weakens, a turn toward the west at a slower forward speed is anticipated. This turn could occur before or after Marco moves inland, and will be tied in part to exactly when Marco begins to weaken since a stronger, deeper storm should continue to feel the affects of the upper-level southwesterly flow and move farther north while a weaker system will be steered westward by a low- to mid-level ridge extending over the southeastern US. The NHC forecast is nearly on top of the multi-model consensus, but the spread in the guidance is still higher than normal. Key Messages: 1. Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of extreme western Cuba for a few more hours. Heavy rainfall is also expected overnight in the eastern portions of the Mexican states of Quintana Roo and Yucatan, and across far western Cuba, which could result in flash flooding. 2. Marco is expected to be at or near hurricane strength when it approaches the central Gulf Coast as a hurricane on Monday. Hurricane conditions, life-threatening storm surge, and heavy rainfall are possible along portions of the Gulf Coast beginning on Monday, and Hurricane and Storm Surge watches have been issued. Interests in these areas should follow any advice given by local government officials. 3. Tropical Storm Laura could bring additional storm surge, rainfall, and wind impacts to portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast by the middle of next week. This could result in a prolonged period of hazardous weather for areas that may also be affected by Marco. Interests there should monitor the progress of Marco and Laura and updates to the forecast during the next few days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0300Z 22.8N 86.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 23/1200Z 24.3N 87.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 24/0000Z 26.3N 87.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 24/1200Z 28.3N 88.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 25/0000Z 29.6N 90.4W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND 60H 25/1200Z 30.5N 92.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 72H 26/0000Z 30.9N 93.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 96H 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Storm Marco Forecast Advisory Number 11
2020-08-23 04:43:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 230243 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARCO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020 0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABINE PASS TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...LAKE BORGNE...AND MOBILE BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 86.3W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 10SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 86.3W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 86.1W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.3N 87.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 10SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.3N 87.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.3N 88.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.6N 90.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.5N 92.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.9N 93.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 86.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 23/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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