Categories:

• Agriculture and Forestry
• Automotive
• Biotechnology and Pharmaceuticals
• Chemicals
• Construction and Maintenance
• Consumer Goods and Services
• Electronics and Electrical
• Energy and Environment
• Food and Related Products
• Industrial Goods and Services
• Information Technology
• Materials
• Real Estate
• Telecommunications
• Textiles and Nonwovens
• Transportation and Logistics

Popular Tags:

• player
• mp4
• mp4 player
• screen
• player screen
• screen mp4
• 4gb
• player 4gb
• 4gb mp4
• card
• slot
• player card
• 18inch
• inch
• 15inch
• inch mp4
• inch player
• flash
• style
• builtin

Home › forecast

 

Tag: forecast

Tropical Storm Laura Forecast Discussion Number 21

2020-08-25 04:45:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 24 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 250245 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Laura Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 24 2020 Tropical Storm Laura made landfall on the Pinar del Rio province in western Cuba around 0000 UTC with maximum winds of about 55 kt. Around that time, a wind gust of 56 kt was reported in Havana. Since then the storm has moved across western Cuba and is now coming off the island and over the extreme southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Radar data from Cuba and satellite images indicate that the storm has become better organized with deep convection beginning to wrap around the center with persistent thunderstorms on the south side. Data from the NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that the pressure has fallen to 996 mb and that the winds are around 55 kt. Laura continues to move fairly steadily to the west-northwest with the latest initial motion estimated to be 290/17 kt. The track forecast reasoning is generally unchanged from previous discussions. Laura should continue to move west-northwestward at about the same forward speed through Tuesday as it remains in the flow on the southwest side of the Atlantic subtropical ridge. By early Wednesday, Laura will likely slow down and turn northwestward and then northward as it moves into a break in the ridge, caused by a weak trough over the south-central U.S. This motion should cause the system to make landfall in either southwestern Louisiana or the Upper Texas coast Wednesday night or early Thursday. After landfall, Laura is forecast to continue moving northward before turning eastward on Friday as it becomes embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies. Although the global models are in relatively good agreement, there remains some spread in the ensemble members, especially in the ECMWF. Therefore, confidence in the track forecast is still not high. The NHC track forecast is slightly to the left of the previous one, trending toward the latest consensus aids. The storm is starting to pull away from the western portion of Cuba, and it should be over the warm Gulf of Mexico waters for about 2 days. Since Laura will have a notable amount of time over waters with high oceanic heat while moving through a low wind shear and high moisture air mass, significant strengthening seems quite likely until the storm makes landfall. The intensity models all show Laura making landfall as a hurricane, but there are differences on exactly how strong it will be. The NHC intensity forecast continues to stay near the consensus aids, which usually perform best, and Laura could be near major hurricane strengthen when it reaches the coast. Users are again reminded not to focus on the exact details of the track or intensity forecasts as the average NHC track error at 48 h is around 80 miles and the average intensity error is close to 15 mph. In addition, wind, storm surge, and rainfall hazards will extend far from the center. Key Messages: 1. Laura is forecast to reach the northwestern Gulf Coast as a hurricane late Wednesday and early Thursday. Do not focus on the details of the official forecast given the typical uncertainty in NHC's 2 to 3 day track and intensity predictions. In addition, storm surge, wind, and rainfall hazards will extend well away from Laura's center along the Gulf Coast. 2. There is a risk of life-threatening storm surge from San Luis Pass, Texas, to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, within the next 48 hours, and a storm surge watch is in effect for these areas outside of the southeast Louisiana Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System. Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by local officials. 3. Hurricane conditions are possible by late Wednesday from Port Bolivar, Texas, to west of Morgan City, Louisiana, with tropical storm conditions possible by Wednesday afternoon, and a hurricane watch is in effect. Additional hurricane watches may be needed farther south along the Texas coast if the track forecast shifts toward the south and west tonight and Tuesday. 4. Tropical storm conditions and heavy rainfall are expected across central and western Cuba for several more hours. These rains could cause mudslides and life-threatening flash and urban flooding. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 22.7N 84.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 25/1200Z 23.7N 86.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 26/0000Z 25.2N 89.1W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 26/1200Z 26.8N 91.6W 85 KT 100 MPH 48H 27/0000Z 28.8N 93.0W 95 KT 110 MPH 60H 27/1200Z 31.3N 93.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND 72H 28/0000Z 33.8N 93.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 96H 29/0000Z 36.7N 89.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 120H 30/0000Z 36.9N 77.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: number discussion storm laura

Tropical Storm Laura Forecast Advisory Number 21

2020-08-25 04:43:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 25 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 250243 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020 0300 UTC TUE AUG 25 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND LAKE BORGNE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORT BOLIVAR TEXAS TO WEST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH * FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST * DRY TORTUGAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH OF PORT BOLIVAR TO SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 84.0W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 84.0W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 83.3W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.7N 86.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 25.2N 89.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.8N 91.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 28.8N 93.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.3N 93.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 120SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.8N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 36.7N 89.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 36.9N 77.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 84.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 25/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Tags: number storm laura advisory

Tropical Depression Marco Forecast Discussion Number 20

2020-08-25 04:31:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 250231 TCDAT4 Tropical Depression Marco Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142020 1000 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2020 Visible imagery and surface observations indicated that Marco made landfall around 6 pm CDT near the mouth of the Mississippi River. Shortly before landfall, reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane indicated that Marco was still producing a small area of tropical-storm-force winds over water to the northeast of its center. Since then, the system has moved almost due west along the southeast coast of Louisiana while its deep convection has become farther displaced from the low-level center. Between the lack of central convection and Marco's proximity to land, it is likely that the winds have decreased since earlier this evening and the intensity has been lowered to 30 kt. If deep convection does not redevelop overnight, Marco will become a remnant low as soon as Tuesday morning. Regardless of its status, Marco should move generally westward near the coast of Louisiana while it weakens for the next day or so and could continue to produce heavy rain for portions of the north-central Gulf Coast tonight. The system is then forecast to dissipate by early Wednesday, if not sooner. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 29.0N 89.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 25/1200Z 29.0N 91.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 26/0000Z 29.0N 93.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: number discussion marco tropical

Tropical Depression Marco Forecast Advisory Number 20

2020-08-25 04:30:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 25 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 250230 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARCO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020 0300 UTC TUE AUG 25 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 89.8W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 89.8W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 89.3W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.0N 91.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 29.0N 93.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N 89.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

Tags: number marco advisory tropical

Tropical Storm Marco Forecast Discussion Number 19

2020-08-24 22:46:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 242046 TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Marco Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142020 400 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2020 There has been little change to the structure of Marco over the past few hours, with the deep convection and associated heavy rainfall being sheared well to the northeast of the exposed center of circulation. Based on earlier Hurricane Hunter aircraft and scatterometer data, there was a small area of tropical-storm-force winds in the strongest convection located about 50-75 n mi offshore of the northern Gulf coast. Since the shower and thunderstorm activity is persisting, it is assumed that these winds are still occurring in that offshore area and the initial intensity is being held at 35 kt. The exposed vortex should continue to spin down as the center of the cyclone reaches the southeastern Louisiana coast late this evening, which would result in the coastal areas being spared from experiencing sustained tropical-storm-force winds. The official NHC forecast shows Marco weakening to a tropical depression tonight, which is in agreement with the model guidance. Strong vertical wind shear should strip away any remaining convection associated with Marco at some point tonight, as indicated by GFS and ECMWF simulated satellite imagery. When the convection does diminish, most of the model guidance does not show any significant new convection developing thereafter. So it is anticipated that Marco will degenerate to a remnant low by Tuesday. Marco's initial motion is northwest at 6 kt. As the cyclone continues to weaken and degenerate to a remnant low, a turn to the west-northwest is expected as the system becomes steered in the low-level flow. The latest NHC track forecast is little changed from the previous one, and is near the TVCN consensus track guidance. Key Messages: 1. Gusty winds, heavy rainfall, and lingering coastal flooding are expected from Marco along portions of the Gulf Coast through this evening. For information on these hazards see products from your local National Weather Service office. 2. Tropical Storm Laura could bring dangerous storm surge, rainfall, and wind impacts to portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast by the middle of the week, and tropical cyclone wind and surge watches have been issued for portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/2100Z 29.0N 88.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 25/0600Z 29.7N 89.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 25/1800Z 30.3N 91.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 26/0600Z 30.8N 94.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: number discussion marco storm

Sites : [506] [507] [508] [509] [510] [511] [512] [513] [514] [515] [516] [517] [518] [519] [520] [521] [522] [523] [524] [525] next »