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Summary for Tropical Storm Odette (AT5/AL152021)
2021-09-18 04:33:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ODETTE POORLY ORGANIZED OFF THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC COAST... ...FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL BY SATURDAY NIGHT SOUTH OF ATLANTIC CANADA... As of 11:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 17 the center of Odette was located near 36.4, -71.2 with movement NE at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Odette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2021-09-18 04:33:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 18 2021 000 FONT15 KNHC 180233 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ODETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152021 0300 UTC SAT SEP 18 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 4(19) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 2(14) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tropical Storm Odette Forecast Advisory Number 2
2021-09-18 04:32:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 18 2021 000 WTNT25 KNHC 180232 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ODETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152021 0300 UTC SAT SEP 18 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA FOR ODETTE'S POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO NEWFOUNDLAND AS A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 71.2W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 71.2W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 71.9W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 37.8N 69.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 39.4N 65.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.0N 61.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 42.3N 57.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 43.4N 53.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...300NE 270SE 210SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 43.8N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...390NE 300SE 240SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 44.3N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 44.8N 46.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.4N 71.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-18 01:27:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 172327 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 17 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Odette, located a couple of hundred miles off the Mid-Atlantic U.S. coast. The Weather Prediction Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Nicholas, located over Louisiana. Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with an area of low pressure located about 1100 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves toward the west-northwest at about 15 mph. This system is expected to be near the northern Leeward Islands on Monday and Tuesday, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Upper-level winds are likely to become less conducive for development when the system reaches the southwestern Atlantic by the early to middle part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move toward the west and then northwest at 5 to 10 mph over the far eastern Atlantic, and some gradual development is possible over the weekend. However, by early next week, further development appears unlikely as the system is expected to move into strong upper-level winds and over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odette are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Odette are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-18 01:05:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
154 ABPZ20 KNHC 172305 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Sep 17 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Latto
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