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Tropical Storm DOUGLAS Graphics
2014-06-30 16:35:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2014 14:35:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2014 14:31:45 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm DOUGLAS (EP4/EP042014)
2014-06-30 16:32:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DOUGLAS HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVERNIGHT... As of 8:00 AM PDT Mon Jun 30 the center of DOUGLAS was located near 17.4, -114.0 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm DOUGLAS Public Advisory Number 8
2014-06-30 16:32:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT MON JUN 30 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 301432 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014 800 AM PDT MON JUN 30 2014 ...DOUGLAS HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 114.0W ABOUT 465 MI...745 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.0 WEST. DOUGLAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm DOUGLAS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2014-06-30 16:32:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUN 30 2014 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 301432 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014 1500 UTC MON JUN 30 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 17 18(35) 2(37) X(37) 1(38) 1(39) X(39) ISLA CLARION 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tropical Storm DOUGLAS Forecast Advisory Number 8
2014-06-30 16:31:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUN 30 2014 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 301431 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014 1500 UTC MON JUN 30 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 114.0W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 114.0W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 113.7W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.1N 115.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.7N 115.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.1N 116.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.3N 117.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N 117.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.5N 119.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 19.5N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 114.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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