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Summary for Tropical Storm Eugene (EP5/EP052017)
2017-07-08 16:32:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...EUGENE GATHERING SOME STRENGTH WHILE MOVING AWAY FROM LAND... As of 9:00 AM MDT Sat Jul 8 the center of Eugene was located near 13.6, -112.8 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm Eugene Public Advisory Number 4
2017-07-08 16:32:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Sat Jul 08 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 081431 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Eugene Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052017 900 AM MDT Sat Jul 08 2017 ...EUGENE GATHERING SOME STRENGTH WHILE MOVING AWAY FROM LAND... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.6N 112.8W ABOUT 670 MI...1080 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eugene was located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 112.8 West. Eugene is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and Eugene is expected to become a hurricane on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Storm Eugene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2017-07-08 16:32:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUL 08 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 081431 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM EUGENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052017 1500 UTC SAT JUL 08 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EUGENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 1 3( 4) 45(49) 5(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 115W 34 3 58(61) 2(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 15N 115W 50 X 17(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 15N 115W 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 14(23) 4(27) 1(28) X(28) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 32(41) 2(43) 1(44) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) 1(20) 25N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tropical Storm Eugene Forecast Advisory Number 4
2017-07-08 16:31:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUL 08 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 081431 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052017 1500 UTC SAT JUL 08 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 112.8W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 112.8W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 112.5W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.5N 113.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.8N 114.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.5N 115.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.9N 117.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.8N 121.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 25.5N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 112.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Storm Eugene Graphics
2017-07-08 10:39:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 08 Jul 2017 08:39:21 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 08 Jul 2017 08:39:21 GMT
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