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Summary for Hurricane Eugene (EP5/EP052017)

2017-07-09 22:31:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...EUGENE OVER OPEN WATERS WITH 115 MPH WINDS... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Jul 9 the center of Eugene was located near 16.7, -115.3 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 965 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 115 mph.

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Hurricane Eugene Public Advisory Number 9

2017-07-09 22:31:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 09 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 092031 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Hurricane Eugene Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052017 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 09 2017 ...EUGENE OVER OPEN WATERS WITH 115 MPH WINDS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.7N 115.3W ABOUT 555 MI...890 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the distinct eye of Hurricane Eugene was located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 115.3 West. Eugene is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue during the next 2 days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Eugene is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Eugene could gather some additional strength during the next 12 hours, but weakening should begin thereafter. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Hurricane Eugene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2017-07-09 22:31:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUL 09 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 092031 PWSEP5 HURRICANE EUGENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052017 2100 UTC SUN JUL 09 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EUGENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 69 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) 15N 115W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 4 10(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 20N 120W 34 1 16(17) 34(51) 4(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) 20N 120W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 11(21) 1(22) X(22) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 2(12) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Hurricane Eugene Forecast Advisory Number 9

2017-07-09 22:30:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUL 09 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 092030 TCMEP5 HURRICANE EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052017 2100 UTC SUN JUL 09 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 115.3W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 135SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 115.3W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 115.0W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.9N 116.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 19.6N 117.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 22.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 24.0N 122.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 25.5N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 26.5N 127.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 115.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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