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Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast Discussion Number 27
2021-07-20 22:47:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM HST Tue Jul 20 2021 750 WTPZ41 KNHC 202047 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 27 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062021 1100 AM HST Tue Jul 20 2021 Convection once again has mostly dissipated near the low-level circulation of Felicia. Without any organized deep convection, the clock is now ticking on its remaining lifespan as a tropical cyclone. An ASCAT-A scatterometer pass that was recently received at 1709 UTC had a peak wind retrieval of 32-kt just north of the center. Given the lack of convection since that time, as well as the latest Dvorak estimates decreasing further, Felicia is being downgraded to a tropical depression at this time with maximum sustained winds of 30 kt. Further weakening is anticipated as Felicia remains in a very dry, stable environment. The depression is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low in the next 12 hours and open up into a trough by the end of the week, well south of Hawaii. The latest estimated motion is now to the west-southwest at 255/14 kt. The track philosophy has changed little this advisory as a large subtropical ridge will continue to steer Felicia to the west-southwest over the last few days of its life. The latest NHC track forecast is largely an update of the previous forecast track as the guidance remains tightly clustered along the forecast track. On this track, Felicia will be crossing into the central Pacific basin within the next few hours. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Felicia. Future information on this system can be found in Forecast/Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center beginning at 0300 UTC...under AWIPS header HFOTCMCP1 ...WMO header WTPA21 PHFO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/2100Z 15.3N 139.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 21/0600Z 14.8N 141.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 21/1800Z 14.3N 144.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 22/0600Z 13.7N 147.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 22/1800Z 13.2N 150.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi
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Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast Advisory Number 27
2021-07-20 22:43:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 20 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 202043 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021 2100 UTC TUE JUL 20 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 139.4W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 139.4W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 138.7W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.8N 141.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 14.3N 144.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.7N 147.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.2N 150.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 139.4W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 0300 UTC...UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP1 ...WMO HEADER WTPA21 PHFO. $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/CANGIALOSI
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Guillermo Forecast Information (.shp)
2021-07-20 22:35:56| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Tue, 20 Jul 2021 20:35:56 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Guillermo Forecast Discussion Number 14
2021-07-20 22:34:32| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 20 2021
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Guillermo Forecast Advisory Number 14
2021-07-20 22:32:47| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 20 2021
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