je.st
news
Tag: forecast
Potential Tropical Cyclone Five Forecast Advisory Number 1
2021-06-30 22:50:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 000 WTNT25 KNHC 302050 TCMAT5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE GRENADINES. THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. LUCIA. THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MARTINIQUE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES * ST. LUCIA * BARBADOS * MARTINIQUE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. WARNINGS AND ADDITIONAL WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT AND ON THURSDAY. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 43.7W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 43.7W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 42.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.2N 46.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.1N 51.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.4N 56.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.8N 61.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.4N 66.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.0N 70.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.0N 77.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.6N 43.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
potential
advisory
tropical
Remnants of Enrique Forecast Discussion Number 23
2021-06-30 22:36:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Wed Jun 30 2021 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 302036 TCDEP5 Remnants Of Enrique Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 300 PM MDT Wed Jun 30 2021 Enrique has been devoid of deep, organized convection for over 12 hours today. In addition, visible satellite imagery and earlier passive microwave data suggested that the original center has been absorbed by a broad trough of low pressure centered farther southeast near the coast of Baja California Sur. Therefore, this will be the final NHC advisory on the remnants of Enrique. The remnant trough is expected to move west-northwestward over Baja California Sur tonight. Key Messages: 1. Swells generated by Enrique will affect portions of the western coast of Mexico and the coast of Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/2100Z 24.5N 110.3W 20 KT 25 MPH 12H 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Brown
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
enrique
Remnants of Enrique Forecast Advisory Number 23
2021-06-30 22:34:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 695 WTPZ25 KNHC 302034 TCMEP5 REMNANTS OF ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 110.3W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 110.3W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 110.1W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 110.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BROWN
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
enrique
Tropical Depression Enrique Forecast Discussion Number 22
2021-06-30 16:39:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Wed Jun 30 2021 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 301439 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Enrique Discussion Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 900 AM MDT Wed Jun 30 2021 After a brief burst of convection near its center overnight, the satellite presentation of Enrique has degraded this morning. Infrared cloud top temperatures have rapidly warmed near the estimated center position, and the only active convection at this time is occurring over the Baja California Peninsula. Overnight satellite-derived wind data supported winds of 25 to 30 kt in the northeast quadrant of the cyclone, and satellite trends suggest Enrique has weakened since then. Additionally, TAFB gave the system a T2.0 subjective Dvorak classification. Therefore, the initial intensity is lowered to 30 kt this morning, which downgrades Enrique to a tropical depression. Enrique is currently moving northwestward, although it is expected to turn slightly more west-northwestward later today between a weak ridge to its northeast and a low- to mid-level low pressure system well offshore. The track guidance remains in good agreement, and the official NHC forecast lies close to the multi-model consensus. Increasing vertical wind shear and drier mid-level air in the surrounding environment, as well as increasing land interaction, should support continued weakening during the next day or so. As expected, simulated satellite imagery from the GFS and ECMWF do not indicate much potential for additional convective development before the system moves inland tonight. Therefore, Enrique is forecast to become a remnant low over Baja California Sur by Thursday and dissipate shortly thereafter. Key Messages: 1. Heavy rains associated with Enrique are possible across southern portions of Baja California Sur. This will pose a threat of flash flooding and mudslides. 2. Swells generated by Enrique will affect portions of the western coast of Mexico and the coast of Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/1500Z 24.6N 110.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 01/0000Z 25.0N 110.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 01/1200Z 25.4N 111.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Enrique Forecast Advisory Number 22
2021-06-30 16:37:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 301437 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 1500 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 110.0W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 110.0W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 109.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.0N 110.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.4N 111.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 110.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BEVEN
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Sites : [218] [219] [220] [221] [222] [223] [224] [225] [226] [227] [228] [229] [230] [231] [232] [233] [234] [235] [236] [237] next »