je.st
news
Tag: estelle
Summary for Tropical Storm ESTELLE (EP1/EP062016)
2016-07-21 22:35:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ESTELLE SLOWLY WEAKENING... As of 2:00 PM PDT Thu Jul 21 the center of ESTELLE was located near 20.7, -129.7 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
estelle
Tropical Storm ESTELLE Graphics
2016-07-21 17:12:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 21 Jul 2016 14:33:03 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 21 Jul 2016 15:05:35 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
estelle
Tropical Storm ESTELLE Forecast Discussion Number 25
2016-07-21 16:33:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT THU JUL 21 2016 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 211433 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 800 AM PDT THU JUL 21 2016 Estelle continues to feature a small area of deep convection mainly to the northwest of the estimated low-level center location. The initial intensity remains 50 kt based on a blend of the latest Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB. Weakening is forecast since Estelle will be moving over cooler SSTs and the shear is expected to increase. These factors should result in Estelle losing organized deep convection and becoming post-tropical in 24 to 36 hours. The remnant low of Estelle should dissipate in 4 or 5 days. The initial motion estimate is 285/13, as Estelle is being steered by a mid-level ridge centered well to the east over the south- central United States. Estelle should continue moving around the periphery of the ridge and turn northwestward by 48 hours, and this northwestward motion should continue through dissipation. The new NHC track forecast is a little left of the previous one through 48 hours and is near the latest TVCN consensus. A larger westward adjustment was made at days 3 and 4, trending toward a leftward shift in the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/1500Z 20.1N 128.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 22/0000Z 20.8N 130.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 22/1200Z 21.9N 132.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 23/0000Z 23.3N 135.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 23/1200Z 24.8N 137.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 24/1200Z 27.5N 142.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 25/1200Z 30.0N 146.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm ESTELLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25
2016-07-21 16:32:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 21 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 211432 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 1500 UTC THU JUL 21 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 30N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Summary for Tropical Storm ESTELLE (EP1/EP062016)
2016-07-21 16:32:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ESTELLE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOON... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Jul 21 the center of ESTELLE was located near 20.1, -128.1 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
estelle
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] next »