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Summary for Tropical Storm Dorian (AT5/AL052019)
2019-08-24 22:42:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2019 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Aug 24 the center of Dorian was located near 10.7, -49.1 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Dorian Public Advisory Number 2
2019-08-24 22:42:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Aug 24 2019 000 WTNT35 KNHC 242042 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dorian Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 500 PM AST Sat Aug 24 2019 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2019 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.7N 49.1W ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM ESE OF BARBADOS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the central and northern Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Dorian. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dorian was located near latitude 10.7 North, longitude 49.1 West. Dorian is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast on Sunday, and that motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the tropical cyclone is expected to be near the central Lesser Antilles on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Dorian could be near hurricane strength when it approaches the central Lesser Antilles on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Dorian Forecast Advisory Number 2
2019-08-24 22:42:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 24 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 242042 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 2100 UTC SAT AUG 24 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 49.1W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 49.1W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 48.6W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.0N 50.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 11.4N 52.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 11.9N 54.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 12.7N 57.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.6N 61.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 16.5N 65.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 18.4N 69.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 49.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2019-08-24 22:42:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 24 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 242042 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 2100 UTC SAT AUG 24 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 23(41) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 25(37) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 17(33) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) 16(52) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 10(42) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 40(43) 10(53) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 6(21) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) 3(34) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 31(38) 3(41) SABA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) SABA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 30(39) 2(41) ST EUSTATIUS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) ST EUSTATIUS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 28(41) 2(43) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 16(30) 1(31) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 19(37) 1(38) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 19(51) 1(52) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 1(19) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 49(62) 1(63) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 1(31) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 44(45) 19(64) X(64) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 12(28) X(28) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 50(52) 11(63) 1(64) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 8(27) X(27) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 43(45) 8(53) X(53) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 4(22) X(22) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 6(37) X(37) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 42(50) 2(52) X(52) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 1(21) X(21) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) X(14) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Dorian LPG and Phoenix Tankers to set up VLGC pool
2014-08-01 01:00:00| Ship Technology
Dorian LPG has partnered with Mitsui OSK Lines division, Phoenix Tankers, to build a very large gas carrier (VLGC) pool, which will run from Singapore and London.
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