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Summary for Hurricane Norman (EP1/EP162018)
2018-08-31 10:34:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NORMAN WEAKENS A LITTLE BUT REMAINS A POWERFUL HURRICANE... As of 2:00 AM PDT Fri Aug 31 the center of Norman was located near 16.9, -120.2 with movement WSW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 946 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 140 mph.
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Hurricane Norman Public Advisory Number 13
2018-08-31 10:34:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Fri Aug 31 2018 192 WTPZ31 KNHC 310834 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Norman Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162018 200 AM PDT Fri Aug 31 2018 ...NORMAN WEAKENS A LITTLE BUT REMAINS A POWERFUL HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 120.2W ABOUT 785 MI...1265 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Norman was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 120.2 West. Norman is moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the west and west-northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected over the weekend and into next week. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Norman is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is forecast, however, Norman is expected to remain a powerful hurricane for the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 946 mb (27.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Hurricane Norman Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2018-08-31 10:34:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 31 2018 193 FOPZ11 KNHC 310834 PWSEP1 HURRICANE NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 0900 UTC FRI AUG 31 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 4 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 125W 34 1 9(10) 55(65) 5(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) 15N 125W 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 125W 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 19(27) X(27) X(27) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 29(33) 1(34) X(34) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 41(62) 1(63) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) X(27) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 17(54) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 10(20) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Hurricane Norman Forecast Advisory Number 13
2018-08-31 10:34:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 31 2018 917 WTPZ21 KNHC 310834 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORMAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 0900 UTC FRI AUG 31 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 120.2W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 135SW 160NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 120.2W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 119.9W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.6N 121.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 123.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.3N 125.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.7N 127.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 133.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.5N 139.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 143.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 120.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Hurricane Norman Graphics
2018-08-31 04:35:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 31 Aug 2018 02:35:16 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 31 Aug 2018 02:35:16 GMT
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