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Tropical Storm KARL Forecast Advisory Number 36
2016-09-23 10:49:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 230849 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 0900 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 64.8W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 30SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 64.8W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 64.3W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.5N 65.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 31.5N 64.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 37.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 100SE 60SW 20NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 180SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 48.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 220SE 210SW 0NW. 34 KT...280NE 480SE 600SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 64.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Storm KARL Graphics
2016-09-23 07:43:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 23 Sep 2016 05:43:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 23 Sep 2016 03:06:35 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm KARL (AT2/AL122016)
2016-09-23 07:40:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING KARL... As of 2:00 AM AST Fri Sep 23 the center of KARL was located near 27.3, -64.3 with movement NW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm KARL Public Advisory Number 35A
2016-09-23 07:40:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST FRI SEP 23 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 230540 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 200 AM AST FRI SEP 23 2016 ...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING KARL... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.3N 64.3W ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 64.3 West. Karl is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected today, with a turn toward the northeast by Friday night. On the forecast track, the center of Karl should pass near or to the east of Bermuda on Friday night or Saturday morning. Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Karl could become a hurricane on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) to the north and east of the center. The minimum central pressure just estimated by an Air Force reconnaissance plane was 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by Friday evening. RAINFALL: Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over Bermuda through Saturday and early Sunday. SURF: Swells generated by Karl are already affecting Bermuda and are expected to increase during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Storm KARL Graphics
2016-09-23 04:54:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 23 Sep 2016 02:54:03 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 23 Sep 2016 02:50:34 GMT
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