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Tropical Depression Omar Forecast Advisory Number 20

2020-09-05 16:38:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 05 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 051438 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 1500 UTC SAT SEP 05 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 57.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 57.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 57.3W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 39.0N 56.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 41.9N 53.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 45.2N 49.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.4N 57.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Depression Omar Forecast Discussion Number 19

2020-09-05 10:34:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Sat Sep 05 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 050834 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Omar Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 500 AM AST Sat Sep 05 2020 Omar continues to produce bursts of deep convection that are being sheared to the south of the center of circulation. However, these busts are near enough to the center for the system to still qualify as a tropical cyclone. Since Omar is now finally beginning to head for cooler waters, convection will likely decrease and Omar should become a remnant low within 24 hours. As expected, the cyclone is now moving north-northeastward, or 020/6 kt. A continued generally north-northeast track with acceleration is likely, under the influence of an approaching large mid-level trough. The official track forecast is similar to the NOAA corrected consensus, HCCA, prediction. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0900Z 36.2N 57.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/1800Z 37.6N 56.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 06/0600Z 40.1N 55.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/1800Z 43.0N 52.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Depression Omar Forecast Advisory Number 19

2020-09-05 10:32:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 05 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 050832 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 0900 UTC SAT SEP 05 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 57.1W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 57.1W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N 57.2W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 37.6N 56.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 40.1N 55.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 43.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N 57.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Depression Omar Forecast Discussion Number 18

2020-09-05 04:40:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Sep 04 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 050240 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Omar Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 1100 PM AST Fri Sep 04 2020 Another burst of convection has developed near and to the south of the center of Omar, so the system continues as a tropical depression despite ongoing strong shear. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt based on recently received scatterometer data and a satellite intensity estimated from TAFB. A combination of continued shear, dry air, and cooler waters should cause it to decay to a remnant low on Saturday and dissipate entirely by Saturday night or Sunday. Omar is starting its expected north-northeastward turn and the initial motion is now 070/4. An approaching deep-layer trough should cause Omar to turn north-northeastward tonight and Saturday and then accelerate in that direction until it dissipates over the northern central Atlantic. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0300Z 35.6N 57.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/1200Z 36.8N 56.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 06/0000Z 38.9N 55.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Depression Omar Forecast Advisory Number 18

2020-09-05 04:40:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 05 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 050240 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 0300 UTC SAT SEP 05 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 57.3W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 57.3W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 57.3W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 36.8N 56.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 38.9N 55.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N 57.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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