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Hurricane Isaias Forecast Discussion Number 16

2020-08-01 04:45:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 010245 TCDAT4 Hurricane Isaias Discussion Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 1100 PM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020 Isaias has a somewhat asymmetrical appearance on satellite images, with lots of deep convection over the eastern semicircle and not as much over the western part of the circulation. Reports from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the central pressure has dropped a few mb, and flight-level and SFMR-observed surface wind observations from the aircraft indicate an intensity of near 70 kt. The hurricane is experiencing some westerly shear, and this is likely to limit intensification. However, some strengthening is still possible on Saturday. When Isais moves farther north in a couple of days, the shear should cause a gradual weakening trend to begin. The official intensity forecast is about the same as the previous one, and a little above the model consensus. The hurricane continues moving northwestward at a bit slower pace, or 310/13 kt. The general track forecast philosophy has not changed. Isais should continue to move northwestward on the southwest side of a mid-level ridge through Saturday and begin to turn north-northwestward through a weakness in the ridge on Sunday. Thereafter, a turn toward the north-northeast and northeast with an increase in forward speed is likely during days 3 to 5. The official track forecast is close to the previous one and also very close to the latest dynamical model consensus. The hurricane warning has been extended northward along the Florida east coast. Key Messages: 1. Hurricane conditions and dangerous storm surge are expected in portions of the Bahamas through Saturday, and Hurricane Warnings are in effect. 2. Hurricane conditions are expected along portions of the Florida east coast late Saturday and Saturday night, and a Hurricane Warning has been issued. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. 3. Dangerous storm surge is possible along the Florida east coast from Jupiter Inlet to Ponte Vedra Beach where water rises of 2 to 4 feet above ground level are possible along the immediate coastline and adjacent waterways. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local emergency officials. 4. Isaias will produce heavy rains and potentially life-threatening flash and urban flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained areas, across South to east-Central Florida, and across the Carolinas to the mid Atlantic. Isolated minor river flooding is possible across the eastern Carolinas and into Virginia early next week. 5. There is a risk of impacts from winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surge spreading along much of the the U.S. east coast through early next week, and interests there should monitor the progress of Isaias and updates to the forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0300Z 23.3N 76.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 01/1200Z 24.5N 77.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 02/0000Z 25.9N 79.1W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 02/1200Z 27.1N 80.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 03/0000Z 28.5N 80.5W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 03/1200Z 30.2N 80.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 04/0000Z 33.1N 78.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 05/0000Z 41.0N 72.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 06/0000Z 47.5N 64.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Hurricane Isaias Forecast Advisory Number 16

2020-08-01 04:44:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 01 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 010244 TCMAT4 HURRICANE ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 0300 UTC SAT AUG 01 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WATCH IS CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING FROM THE VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BOCA RATON TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * CENTRAL BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HALLANDALE BEACH TO SOUTH OF BOCA RATON FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JUPITER INLET TO PONTE VEDRA BEACH FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO SOUTH OF BOCA RATON FLORIDA * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO PONTE VEDRA BEACH FLORIDA INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAIAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED ON SATURDAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 76.4W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......150NE 70SE 30SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 90SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 76.4W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 75.9W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N 77.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 40SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 25.9N 79.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 27.1N 80.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 28.5N 80.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 30.2N 80.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 33.1N 78.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 41.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 47.5N 64.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 76.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Hurricane Isaias Forecast Discussion Number 15

2020-07-31 22:50:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 312050 TCDAT4 Hurricane Isaias Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 500 PM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020 Deep convection, with occasional overshooting cloud tops of -85C to -90C just north of the center, has continued to develop during the normal diurnal convective minimum period, which is quite impressive. The most recent Air Force Reserve recon flight-level wind data, along with ASCAT surface wind data, indicate that the inner-core and outer wind field have both contracted in size. Furthermore, radar data from the Bahamas and an 1810Z AMSR-2 microwave pass also indicate that a small 10-nmi-wide mid-level eye is forming. The last recon central pressure was 991 mb and the 700 mb height had decreased by 30 meters since the earlier maximum height around 1230Z. These data indicate that Isaias is getting better organized. The initial intensity remains 65 kt based on an earlier 700-mb flight-level wind speed of 72 kt, which reduces to a 65-kt surface wind speed using a 90-percent adjustment factor. The initial motion remains northwestward or 305/12 kt. The 12Z global models have once again made a westward shift due to the ridge to the north of Isaias not weakening as quickly as expected. This is partly due to the ridge being stronger than expected and a shortwave trough over the central United States moving a little slower into the southeastern U.S. than previously indicated. The UKMET and ECMWF explicitly show Isaias making landfall in 36-48 hours along the southeast Florida coast, but appear to weaken the system below hurricane strength. The GFS similarly brings the cyclone close to the southeast and east-central Florida coasts, but also as a somewhat weaker system. In the 48 to 60-hour period, the cyclone is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward and northward through a break in the subtropical ridge extending westward from the Atlantic across Florida and into the northern Gulf of Mexico. By that time, however, Isaias is expected to weaken below hurricane strength due to the combination of strong southwesterly vertical wind shear and interaction the Florida peninsula. Around 72 hours, the cyclone should accelerate northeastward and possibly strengthen some before passing over eastern North Carolina on day 4, and across eastern New England on day 5. The NHC track forecast lies close to a blend of the consensus models TVCA and NOAA-HCCA and is east of the UKMET and ECMWF with the system forecast to be stronger than those models indicate. Due to the westward shift in the NHC forecast track, a Hurricane Warning and Storm Surge Watch have been issued for portions of the Florida east coast. The center of Isaias is now located in the center of an expanding CDO feature. The improved inner-core wind field and aforementioned convective structure, along with very warm SSTs near 30C, should support some strengthening overnight and early Saturday morning. However, increasing southwesterly vertical wind shear is expected to cause a gradual decrease in intensity by Sunday and continue into early next week. The new official intensity forecast is a little lower than the previous advisory and is near the higher end of the intensity guidance. Key Messages: 1. Hurricane conditions and dangerous storm surge are expected in portions of the Bahamas through Saturday, and Hurricane Warnings are in effect. 2. Hurricane conditions are expected along portions of the Florida east coast late Saturday and Saturday night, and a Hurricane Warning has been issued. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. 3. Dangerous storm surge is possible along the Florida east coast from Jupiter Inlet to Ponte Vedra Beach where water rises of 2 to 4 feet above ground level are possible along the immediate coastline and adjacent waterways. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local emergency officials. 4. Isaias will produce heavy rains and potentially life-threatening flash and urban flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained areas across south to east-central Florida, and across the Carolinas to the mid Atlantic. Isolated minor river flooding is possible across the eastern Carolinas and into Virginia early next week. 5. There is a risk of impacts from winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surge spreading along much of the the U.S. east coast through early next week, and interests there should monitor the progress of Isaias and updates to the forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/2100Z 22.6N 75.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 01/0600Z 23.9N 77.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 01/1800Z 25.4N 78.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 02/0600Z 26.8N 79.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 02/1800Z 28.3N 80.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 03/0600Z 30.0N 80.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 03/1800Z 32.5N 79.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 04/1800Z 39.0N 74.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 05/1800Z 45.4N 65.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Hurricane Isaias Forecast Advisory Number 15

2020-07-31 22:49:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 31 2020 164 WTNT24 KNHC 312049 TCMAT4 HURRICANE ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 2100 UTC FRI JUL 31 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA RATON TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE AND FROM SOUTH OF BOCA RATON TO HALLENDALE BEACH. A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET TO PONTE VEDRE BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO PONTE VEDRE BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BOCA RATON TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS * CENTRAL BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HALLENDALE BEACH TO SOUTH OF BOCA RATON FLORIDA * VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JUPITER INLET TO PONTE VEDRE BEACH FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO SOUTH OF BOCA RATON FLORIDA * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO PONTE VEDRE BEACH FLORIDA INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAIAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 75.7W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......150NE 70SE 30SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 90SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 75.7W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 75.2W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.9N 77.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 40SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.4N 78.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.8N 79.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 28.3N 80.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 30.0N 80.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 32.5N 79.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 39.0N 74.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 45.4N 65.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 75.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Discussion Number 1

2020-07-31 22:48:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM CVT Fri Jul 31 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 312048 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Ten Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 800 PM CVT Fri Jul 31 2020 Deep convection has recently developed closer to the center of a small area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the Cabo Verde Islands. Earlier ASCAT data indicated peak winds of around 25 kt, but given the small size of the system and the likely undersampling of the instrument, the initial intensity is set at 30 kt. This is in line with a Dvorak classification of T2.0 from SAB. With the recent increase in convective organization, there is a potential for the depression to become a short-lived tropical storm tonight. After that time, the environment is forecast to become increasingly hostile as cooler waters and less favorable thermodynamic conditions lie ahead. As a result, weakening should begin on Saturday and the system is forecast to become a remnant low Saturday night and dissipate shortly thereafter. The system is moving slightly west of due north, or 355/8 kt. The depression is forecast to turn northwestward tonight, then west-northwestward to westward on Saturday and Saturday night as it moves around the eastern side of a large cyclonic gyre over the far eastern Atlantic. The track guidance is in relatively good agreement, and the NHC forecast is near the TVCA multi-model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/2100Z 15.9N 20.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 01/0600Z 17.3N 21.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 01/1800Z 18.5N 23.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 02/0600Z 18.8N 25.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown

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