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Tropical Storm Isaias Forecast Advisory Number 7

2020-07-30 04:48:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUL 30 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 300248 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 0300 UTC THU JUL 30 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANGUILLA. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ST. MAARTEN * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ENTIRE SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN COASTLINES * NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...ABACOS ISLANDS...BERRY ISLANDS...GRAND BAHAMAS ISLAND...AND BIMINI INTERESTS IN CUBA AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 67.0W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......300NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 67.0W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 66.3W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.6N 69.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...240NE 40SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.4N 72.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...180NE 40SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.4N 74.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 40SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.9N 77.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 50SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.8N 79.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.6N 80.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 30.0N 80.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 35.0N 77.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 67.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 30/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Forecast Discussion Number 6

2020-07-29 22:44:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Jul 29 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 292044 TCDAT4 Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 500 PM AST Wed Jul 29 2020 Deep convection has continued to increase in association with the disturbance since the previous advisory. More recently, a band has developed over the southwestern portion of the broad circulation and it appears that the system may be closer to acquiring a well-defined center. Earlier ASCAT data that arrived shortly after the release of the previous advisory revealed a large area of 35-40 kt winds well to the north of the vorticity maximum. This supports maintaining the initial intensity of 40 kt. The estimated motion remains a brisk 290/20 kt. A strong subtropical ridge that extends westward over the western Atlantic should continue to steer the system west-northwestward over the next couple of days, bringing the system near or over Hispaniola late tonight and Thursday. A mid-latitude trough moving into the central United States on Friday is foreast to weaken the western portion of the ridge which should cause a reduction in the forward speed of the system and a turn toward the northwest and north later in the forecast period. The latest iterations of the dynamical models have trended toward a more eastward solution, taking the system near or just east of the Florida peninsula. Since the system still lacks a well-defined center it is not surprising to see these inconsistencies in the model runs. As a result, the NHC forecast has been shifted eastward, but it remains to the west of the latest multi-model consensus aids out of respect for continuity and the continued possibility of further model shifts. The system is still forecast to become a tropical storm before reaching Hispaniola, and some slight strengthening could occur before landfall Thursday morning. Some weakening is likely as the system moves over that island. The system is likely to take some time to recover after its passage over land, and given the forecast for at least moderate south to southwesterly shear, only gradual strengthening is indicated at that time. As mentioned above, some of the global models are now showing a track farther away from eastern Cuba and east of Florida, and if that occurs the NHC intensity forecast could be somewhat conservative. Interests in the Bahamas, Cuba, and Florida should continue to monitor forecasts as changes to both the track and intensity are likely. Key Messages: 1. Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will produce heavy rains and potentially life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, northern Haiti, and over the Inagua Islands into the southeastern Bahamas. 2. Tropical storm conditions are likely across portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through tonight and will spread westward to portions of the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and the southeastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos on Thursday and Thursday night. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for these areas. Do not focus on the details of the track forecast, as rainfall and wind hazards will extend far from the center of the system. 3. The details of the long-range track and intensity forecasts remain more uncertain than usual since the system does not have a well-defined center and it is expected to move near or over portions of the Greater Antilles later this week and move near or over Florida this weekend. While this system could bring some rainfall and wind impacts to portions of Cuba, the central and northwest Bahamas, and Florida later this week and this weekend, it is too soon to determine the location or magnitude of those impacts. Interests there should monitor the progress of this system and updates to the forecast over the next few days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/2100Z 16.4N 65.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 30/0600Z 17.5N 68.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE 24H 30/1800Z 19.2N 71.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 36H 31/0600Z 20.9N 74.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER 48H 31/1800Z 22.3N 76.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 01/0600Z 23.6N 78.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 01/1800Z 25.5N 80.8W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 96H 02/1800Z 28.6N 82.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 120H 03/1800Z 31.5N 82.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND $$ Forecaster Brown

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Forecast Advisory Number 6

2020-07-29 22:41:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUL 29 2020 052 WTNT24 KNHC 292041 TCMAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 2100 UTC WED JUL 29 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * ANGUILLA * ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ST. MAARTEN * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ENTIRE SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN COASTLINES * NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 65.6W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......240NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 65.6W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 64.9W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.5N 68.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...210NE 40SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.2N 71.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...180NE 40SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.9N 74.2W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 40SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.3N 76.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 50SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.6N 78.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.5N 80.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 28.6N 82.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 31.5N 82.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 65.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 30/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Forecast Discussion Number 5

2020-07-29 16:51:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Jul 29 2020 390 WTNT44 KNHC 291450 TCDAT4 Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 1100 AM AST Wed Jul 29 2020 Surface observations from the Lesser Antilles show that the broader circulation of the disturbance has become slightly better defined but a recent Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft was still unable to find a well-defined circulation. Therefore, the system has not yet become a tropical cyclone. The aircraft measured peak flight-level winds of 46 kt and several SFMR winds of around 35 kt, so the initial intensity remains 40 kt for this advisory. The system continues moving briskly west-northwestward at 290/20 kt. The forecast reasoning remains unchanged as a ridge to the north of the system is expected to steer the disturbance west-northwestward during the next couple of days. This motion should bring the system near or over Hispaniola on Thursday and near eastern Cuba Thursday night and Friday. The ridge is forecast to weaken by the weekend which should cause a reduction in forward speed. It still must be stressed that since the system lacks a well-defined center and remains in its formative stage, uncertainty in the specifics of the track forecast remain high in both the short and longer range. The latest NHC track foreast has been nudged slightly south of the previous advisory and lies between the latest ECMWF solution and the various consensus aids. Deep convection has consolidated and there is some evidence of banding over the northern and western portions of the large circulation. As a result, the system is still expected to become a tropical storm later today or tonight. Some additional intensification is then possible before the system reaches Hispaniola on Thursday, but weakening is likely to occur while it interacts with land. After that time, the system's close proximity to eastern Cuba and an expected increase in southwesterly shear are likely to inhibit significant re-strengthening. The latest NHC wind speed forecast has been lowered from the previous advisory at 72-120 h. Given the expected land interaction and less than ideal upper-level environment it is best to remain conservative at this time. Interests in Hispaniola, the Bahamas, Cuba, and Florida should continue to monitor forecasts as changes to both the track and intensity are likely. Key Messages: 1. Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will produce heavy rains and potentially life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic. 2. Tropical storm conditions are likely across portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico today and will spread westward to portions of the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and the southeastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos on Thursday and Thursday night. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for these areas. Do not focus on the details of the track forecast, as rainfall and wind hazards will extend far from the center of the system. 3. The details of the long-range track and intensity forecasts remain more uncertain than usual since the system does not have a well-defined center and it is expected to move near or over portions of the Greater Antilles later this week. However, this system could bring some rainfall and wind impacts to portions of Cuba, the central and northwest Bahamas, and Florida later this week and this weekend. Interests there should monitor its progress and updates to the forecast over the next few days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/1500Z 15.8N 63.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 30/0000Z 16.9N 66.4W 45 KT 50 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE 24H 30/1200Z 18.5N 69.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 31/0000Z 19.9N 73.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 48H 31/1200Z 21.4N 76.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...NEAR COAST 60H 01/0000Z 22.7N 78.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER 72H 01/1200Z 23.8N 80.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 02/1200Z 26.3N 82.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 120H 03/1200Z 29.0N 83.5W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ Forecaster Brown

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Forecast Advisory Number 5

2020-07-29 16:48:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 291448 TCMAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS AS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA * GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. BARTHELEMY * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ST. MAARTEN * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO CAUCEDO EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO AND THEN WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC/HAITI BORDER * NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE SOUTHERN HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO CABO CAUCEDO * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 63.7W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......240NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 63.7W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 62.8W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.9N 66.4W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...210NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N 69.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 40SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.9N 73.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 40SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.4N 76.0W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 40SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.7N 78.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.8N 80.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 26.3N 82.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 29.0N 83.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 63.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 29/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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