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Tropical Storm Isaias Forecast Advisory Number 29
2020-08-04 10:49:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 04 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 040849 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 0900 UTC TUE AUG 04 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA SOUTH OF SURF CITY. THE STORM SURGE WATCH SOUTH OF SURF CITY HAS ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS * OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SURF CITY TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO EASTPORT MAINE * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * CHESAPEAKE BAY * TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER * DELAWARE BAY * LONG ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD...NANTUCKET...AND BLOCK ISLAND A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 77.5W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 24 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......110NE 120SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 77.5W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 78.1W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 40.3N 75.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 70SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 45.8N 72.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 50.3N 70.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 53.2N 69.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 77.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 04/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Hurricane Isaias Forecast Discussion Number 28
2020-08-04 05:00:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 03 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 040300 TCDAT4 Hurricane Isaias Discussion Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 03 2020 NWS Doppler radar data and reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Isaias re-intensified to a hurricane despite a less than impressive appearance in satellite imagery. The aircraft reported 117 kt winds at 700 mb to the east of the center, but these were not mixed to the surface by the weak convection in that area, as the maximum SFMR winds were 75 kt. Based on these data, the initial intensity is raised to 75 kt. The hurricane is moving 020/19, and a faster forward speed is expected as the system moves farther into the mid-latitude southwesterly flow. This should bring the center onshore in southern North Carolina shortly, followed by a track through the mid-Atlantic and western New England states Tuesday and Tuesday night and into southeastern Canada early Wednesday. Interaction with a strong jet stream suggests that Isaias should weaken more slowly than normal as it moves through the eastern United States, and this should produce very strong wind gusts along the mid-Atlantic coast tomorrow. As a result, the gust factors at 24-48 h have been increased above the standard 20 percent in the Forecast/Advisory (TCMAT4). The cyclone is forecast to be absorbed by a larger extratropical low over Canada in about 72 h. Key Messages: 1. There is the danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation along portions of the immediate coastline and adjacent waterways of northeastern South Carolina and the North Carolina coast, including portions of Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local emergency officials. 2. Hurricane conditions are spreading into the southern portion of the hurricane Warning area and should spread northward through tonight and early tomorrow morning. 3. Isaias is expected to bring widespread sustained tropical storm force winds and wind gusts to hurricane force to the mid-Atlantic coast, including portions of the Chesapeake Bay region, later tonight and on Tuesday, which could cause tree damage and power outages. Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across New England late Tuesday into early Wednesday. 4. Heavy rainfall along the East Coast near the path of Isaias will result in flash and urban flooding, some of which may be significant in the eastern Carolinas, mid-Atlantic and northeast through Wednesday. Widespread minor to moderate river flooding is possible across portions of the Carolinas and the Mid-Atlantic. Quick- responding rivers in the northeast will also be susceptible to minor river flooding. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0300Z 33.8N 78.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 04/1200Z 37.0N 76.8W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 24H 05/0000Z 42.0N 73.8W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND 36H 05/1200Z 46.8N 70.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 48H 06/0000Z 50.8N 68.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 06/1200Z 52.9N 66.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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Hurricane Isaias Forecast Advisory Number 28
2020-08-04 04:48:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 04 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 040248 TCMAT4 HURRICANE ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 0300 UTC TUE AUG 04 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND STORM SURGE WARNING SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS * OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE FEAR TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO EASTPORT MAINE * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * CHESAPEAKE BAY * TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER * DELAWARE BAY * LONG ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD...NANTUCKET...AND BLOCK ISLAND A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 78.5W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 90SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 78.5W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 79.1W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 37.0N 76.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 42.0N 73.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 46.8N 70.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 160SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 50.8N 68.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 52.9N 66.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 78.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 04/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Isaias Forecast Discussion Number 27
2020-08-03 22:59:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Mon Aug 03 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 032059 TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Isaias Discussion Number 27 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 500 PM EDT Mon Aug 03 2020 Isaias is undergoing its daily reorganization phase, with a ragged eye-like feature now showing up in NOAA Doppler weather radars from Charleston, Wilmington, and Jacksonville. The last Air Force Reserve reconnaissance flight reported a peak SFMR-derived surface wind speed of 62 kt in the southwest quadrant around 1630Z while Isaias was experiencing a center reformation further to the east. Since then, Doppler velocities of 70-75 kt have been observed between 10,000-15,000 ft in the northern semicircle, but within reflectivity regions less than 35 dBZ, which suggests that a the reduction factor is likely less than the 90-percent value typically used. Thus the intensity is being held at 60 kt, which means that Isaias is very near hurricane status. Another Air Force Reserve reconnaissance will be investigating the cyclone around 0000Z this evening. Isaias is now moving north-northeastward 015/14 kt. The new NHC model guidance remains in excellent agreement on Isaias continuing to gradually accelerate north-northeastward to northeastward for the next 36 hours ahead of a powerful deep-layer trough and associated cold front. The cyclone should make landfall later this evening near the South Carolina-North Carolina border, and then accelerate north-northeastward at 25-30 kt across eastern North Carolina early Tuesday, eastern Virginia and the Delmarva peninsula Tuesday afternoon, and into New England Tuesday night into early Wednesday. The new NHC track forecast is just an update and extension of the previous advisory track, and lies very close to a blend of the tightly packed multi-model consensus aids TVCA, GFEX, TVCX, and NOAA-HCCA. Satellite animation and special 1800Z upper-air soundings indicate that the vertical shear across Isaias has weakened and has also become more southwesterly, which better aligns with the forecast track. Given this and the improved structure of the system, Isaias is still expected to strengthen and regain hurricane status before making landfall, and most of the intensity guidance shows a 60-65 kt system at that time. It should be emphasized that there is little difference between a strong tropical storm or a category 1 hurricane in terms of impacts. After landfall, Isaias is forecast to only slowly weaken due to interaction with an unusually strong 100-120 kt jetstream. The expected strong baroclinic forcing will keep Isaias' circulation intact and also produce very strong wind gusts along the mid-Atlantic coast tomorrow. As a result, the gust factors at 24-48 h have been increased above the standard 20 percent in the Forecast/Advisory (TCMAT4). The cyclone is forecast to be absorbed by a larger extratropical low over Canada in 3-4 days. Key Messages: 1. There is the danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation along portions of the immediate coastline and adjacent waterways of northeastern South Carolina and the North Carolina coast, including portions of Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local emergency officials. 2. Isaias is expected to be at or near hurricane strength when it reaches the coast of northeastern South Carolina and southern North Carolina in a few hours, and hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning area this evening. 3. Isaias is expected to bring widespread sustained tropical storm force winds and wind gusts to hurricane force to the mid-Atlantic coast, including portions of the Chesapeake Bay region, on Tuesday, which could cause tree damage and power outages. Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across New England late Tuesday into early Wednesday. 4. Heavy rainfall along the East Coast near the path of Isaias will result in flash and urban flooding, some of which may be significant in the eastern Carolinas, mid-Atlantic and northeast through Wednesday. Widespread minor to moderate river flooding is possible across portions of the Carolinas and the Mid-Atlantic. Quick- responding rivers in the northeast will also be susceptible to minor river flooding. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/2100Z 32.0N 79.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 04/0600Z 34.7N 78.1W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 24H 04/1800Z 39.3N 75.3W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND 36H 05/0600Z 44.5N 71.8W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 48H 05/1800Z 48.8N 68.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 06/0600Z 52.0N 67.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 06/1800Z 54.3N 63.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Isaias Forecast Advisory Number 27
2020-08-03 22:41:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 03 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 032040 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 2100 UTC MON AUG 03 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO STONINGTON MAINE. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF SAVANNAH RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS * OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE FEAR TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAVANNAH RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA * NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO STONINGTON MAINE * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * CHESAPEAKE BAY * TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER * DELAWARE BAY * LONG ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD...NANTUCKET...AND BLOCK ISLAND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF STONINGTON TO EASTPORT MAINE A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 79.4W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 79.4W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 79.7W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 34.7N 78.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 39.3N 75.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 44.5N 71.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 48.8N 68.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 52.0N 67.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 54.3N 63.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 79.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 04/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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