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Hurricane Maria Public Advisory Number 27
2017-09-22 22:40:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017 000 WTNT35 KNHC 222040 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Maria Advisory Number 27 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017 500 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017 ...MARIA PASSING TO THE EAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.3N 71.4W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM ENE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM ESE OF NASSAU MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of the Bahamas has changed the Hurricane Warning for the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas to a Tropical Storm Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Turks and Caicos Islands * Southeastern Bahamas * Central Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in the Bahamas should monitor the progress of Maria. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Maria was located near latitude 23.3 North, longitude 71.4 West. Maria is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A turn toward the north is forecast by Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Maria is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. A gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The minimum central pressure based on data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 959 mb (28.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas through tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in portions of the central Bahamas tonight. STORM SURGE: Water levels in the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands will subside through tonight as Maria moves away from those islands. RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Saturday: Turks and Caicos...8 to 16 inches, isolated 20 inches Puerto Rico...additional 1 to 3 inches, isolated maximum storm total amounts 40 inches Mayaguana, southeast Bahamas...4 to 8 inches Inagua Islands and Crooked Island, Bahamas...2 to 6 inches Rest of eastern Bahamas...1 to 3 inches Rainfall on these islands will continue to cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas, portions of the southeastern United States coast, and Bermuda. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory Number 27
2017-09-22 22:40:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017 000 WTNT25 KNHC 222040 TCMAT5 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS * CENTRAL BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 71.4W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 120SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 71.4W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 71.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.3N 71.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.9N 72.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.8N 72.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.7N 72.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 32.5N 72.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N 71.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 71.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Hurricane Maria Graphics
2017-09-22 19:48:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 22 Sep 2017 17:48:04 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 22 Sep 2017 15:32:56 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Maria (AT5/AL152017)
2017-09-22 19:45:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MARIA NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD, AWAY FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... As of 2:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 the center of Maria was located near 22.8, -71.2 with movement NNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 959 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 125 mph.
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Hurricane Maria Public Advisory Number 26A
2017-09-22 19:45:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017 000 WTNT35 KNHC 221745 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 26A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017 ...MARIA NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD, AWAY FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.8N 71.2W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM N OF GRAND TURK ISLAND ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM ESE OF NASSAU MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Turks and Caicos Islands and the Southeastern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Central Bahamas A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in the Bahamas should monitor the progress of Maria. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Maria was located near latitude 22.8 North, longitude 71.2 West. Maria is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected by late Saturday. On the forecast track, Maria's core will move away from the Turks and Caicos Islands today, and pass northeast and east of the Bahamas through Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Maria is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. A gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The minimum central pressure based on data from the reconnaissance aircraft is 959 mb (28.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas and will continue through tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the central Bahamas beginning tonight. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels within the hurricane warning area of the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands. RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Saturday: Turks and Caicos...8 to 16 inches, isolated 20 inches Puerto Rico...additional 3 to 6 inches, isolated maximum storm total amounts 40 inches Eastern Dominican Republic...additional 4 to 8 inches, isolated storm total amounts 20 inches Western Dominican Republic and northern Haiti...additional 3 to 6 inches Mayaguana, southeast Bahamas...4 to 8 inches Inagua Islands and Crooked Island, Bahamas...2 to 6 inches Rest of eastern Bahamas...1 to 3 inches Rainfall on these islands will continue to cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas. These swells will reach portions of the United States southeastern coast today and Bermuda tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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