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Tropical Depression JULIA Public Advisory Number 13

2016-09-17 04:48:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2016 000 WTNT31 KNHC 170248 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2016 ...JULIA IS GOING NOWHERE FOR NOW AND PROBABLY WILL WEAKEN IN SITU... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.2N 76.3W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SSE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Julia was located near latitude 30.2 North, longitude 76.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 2 mph (4 km/h), and little motion is expected during the next two days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. A gradual decay of the cyclone is forecast. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Tropical Depression JULIA Forecast Advisory Number 13

2016-09-17 04:48:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016 000 WTNT21 KNHC 170248 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 0300 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 76.3W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 76.3W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 76.2W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.2N 76.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.5N 77.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.0N 77.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.5N 77.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.5N 76.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 76.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Storm JULIA Graphics

2016-09-16 23:10:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 16 Sep 2016 20:42:17 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 16 Sep 2016 21:06:35 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm JULIA (AT1/AL112016)

2016-09-16 22:40:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...JULIA BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AS IT MEANDERS OFF OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES... As of 5:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 16 the center of JULIA was located near 30.8, -75.7 with movement S at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm JULIA Public Advisory Number 12

2016-09-16 22:40:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2016 000 WTNT31 KNHC 162040 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 500 PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2016 ...JULIA BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AS IT MEANDERS OFF OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.8N 75.7W ABOUT 255 MI...405 KM SSE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 190 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was located near latitude 30.8 North, longitude 75.7 West. Julia is now moving toward the south near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow and erratic motion off of the coasts of South and North Carolina is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Satellite data and reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Julia has become less organized since yesterday, and it is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) to the north of the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

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