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Summary for Hurricane Norman (EP1/EP162018)

2018-09-03 04:31:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HURRICANE NORMAN MAINTAINING CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH FOR NOW... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sun Sep 2 the center of Norman was located near 18.6, -132.7 with movement WNW at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 950 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 130 mph.

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Hurricane Norman Public Advisory Number 24

2018-09-03 04:31:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Sep 02 2018 243 WTPZ31 KNHC 030231 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Norman Advisory Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162018 800 PM PDT Sun Sep 02 2018 ...HURRICANE NORMAN MAINTAINING CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH FOR NOW... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.6N 132.7W ABOUT 1460 MI...2355 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Norman was located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 132.7 West. Norman is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h). This motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Norman is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Hurricane Norman Forecast Advisory Number 24

2018-09-03 04:31:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2018 244 WTPZ21 KNHC 030231 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORMAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 132.7W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 132.7W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 131.8W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.2N 135.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.9N 138.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.4N 141.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.7N 144.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 148.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 23.4N 150.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 26.2N 153.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 132.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane Norman Graphics

2018-09-02 22:35:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 02 Sep 2018 20:35:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 02 Sep 2018 20:35:33 GMT

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Hurricane Norman Forecast Discussion Number 23

2018-09-02 22:34:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Sep 02 2018 670 WTPZ41 KNHC 022034 TCDEP1 Hurricane Norman Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162018 200 PM PDT Sun Sep 02 2018 Norman has maintained a very distinct eye with a ring of deep convection all day. T-numbers from both TAFB and SAB have not changed and still are T6.0 on the Dvorak scale. On this basis, the initial intensity is being kept at 115 kt in this advisory. The hurricane, however, will begin to approach lower SSTs, and intensity guidance is responding to the cooler water by gradually weakening the hurricane. The NHC forecast continues to follow the intensity consensus IVCN, and forecasts a gradual weakening beyond 12 hours. Norman is moving toward the west-northwest at 16 kt. There is a strong subtropical ridge anchored to the north of the hurricane, and this flow pattern will continue to steer the cyclone between the west and west-northwest at the same speed for the next 2 days or so. After that time, Norman will be near the southwestern edge of the ridge, and a turn toward the northwest should then begin. Most of the guidance shifted northward at very long ranges, so the NHC forecast was slightly adjusted in that direction accordingly. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/2100Z 18.1N 130.9W 115 KT 130 MPH 12H 03/0600Z 18.7N 133.5W 115 KT 130 MPH 24H 03/1800Z 19.5N 136.7W 100 KT 115 MPH 36H 04/0600Z 20.0N 140.0W 85 KT 100 MPH 48H 04/1800Z 20.5N 142.7W 80 KT 90 MPH 72H 05/1800Z 21.0N 147.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 06/1800Z 23.0N 150.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 07/1800Z 26.0N 152.5W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ Forecaster Avila

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