je.st
news
Tag: carlos
Hurricane CARLOS Graphics
2015-06-16 13:37:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 16 Jun 2015 11:37:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 16 Jun 2015 09:05:30 GMT
Tags: graphics
carlos
hurricane
hurricane graphics
Summary for Hurricane CARLOS (EP3/EP032015)
2015-06-16 13:36:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...CARLOS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... As of 7:00 AM CDT Tue Jun 16 the center of CARLOS was located near 17.4, -104.0 with movement WNW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
Tags: summary
carlos
hurricane
ep3ep032015
Hurricane CARLOS Public Advisory Number 23A
2015-06-16 13:36:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 161135 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 700 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015 ...CARLOS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 104.0W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes, Mexico Interests elsewhere along the southwest coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Carlos. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Carlos was located near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 104.0 West. Carlos is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn to the north-northwest is expected Wednesday morning, and this motion is forecast to continue through Thursday morning. On the forecast track, Carlos should move parallel to and just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico over the next couple of days. However, only a small deviation to the north of the forecast track could bring Carlos to the coastline. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected to commence on Wednesday and continue through Thursday. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area through Wednesday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area later today. RAINFALL: Carlos is expected to produce heavy rains in the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Durango, and Sinaloa with rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches possible through Thursday morning. Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches are also possible. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of higher terrain. SURF: Swells associated with Carlos will continue to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
public
carlos
advisory
Hurricane CARLOS Graphics
2015-06-16 10:53:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 16 Jun 2015 08:53:03 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 16 Jun 2015 08:45:44 GMT
Tags: graphics
carlos
hurricane
hurricane graphics
Hurricane CARLOS Forecast Discussion Number 23
2015-06-16 10:45:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 160845 TCDEP3 HURRICANE CARLOS DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 400 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015 The satellite presentation is somewhat improved this evening with the clouds near the embedded center of circulation cooling to -80C. Furthermore, an earlier SSMI/S overpass revealed development of a small banding eye feature in the cloud pattern, despite the 8-10 kt of northerly shear. Accordingly, the initial intensity is kept at 65 kt for this advisory. Little change in strength is expected during the next 12-24 hours, then gradual weakening is anticipated through the remaining period as indicated by the SHIPS intensity model, the global models, and the Florida State Superensemble. The aforementioned weakening trend is based on the expectation that the cyclone will be moving into an area of large-scale subsidence and drier air spreading southward from Baja California and northwest Mexico. The increasingly unfavorable environment should result in Carlos becoming a remnant low in 3 days. Carlos has continued to move west-northwestward or 295/5 kt over the past 12 hours. A turn to the north-northwest is expected Wednesday morning as the cyclone enters a growing weakness in the subtropical ridge extending westward from central Mexico. Carlos is forecast to continue on this general motion until dissipation in 5 days. The NHC forecast has again been adjusted a bit to the left of the previous advisory to side with the reliable TVCN model consensus and the Florida State Superensemble. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/0900Z 17.4N 103.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 16/1800Z 17.8N 104.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 17/0600Z 18.5N 105.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 17/1800Z 19.2N 106.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 18/0600Z 19.8N 106.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 19/0600Z 20.6N 107.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 20/0600Z 21.4N 107.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: number
discussion
carlos
forecast
Sites : [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] [49] [50] [51] [52] [53] next »