je.st
news
Tag: rosa
Tropical Storm Rosa Public Advisory Number 24A
2018-10-01 07:45:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 30 2018 886 WTPZ35 KNHC 010545 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rosa Intermediate Advisory Number 24A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202018 1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 30 2018 ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... ...FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, AND LANDSLIDES POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE WESTERN UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.5N 117.3W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SSW OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Abreojos to Cabo San Quintin A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Bahia de los Angeles to San Felipe Interests elsewhere in the northern and central Baja California peninsula and northwestern Sonora should monitor the progress of Rosa. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM PDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rosa was located near latitude 26.5 North, longitude 117.3 West. Rosa is moving toward the north-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Rosa will approach the central and northern Baja California peninsula on Monday and then move across the peninsula into the northern Gulf of California Monday night. Rosa's remnants are then expected to move across the Desert Southwest on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast through Monday night while Rosa approaches and moves over the northern Baja California peninsula. Rosa is expected to dissipate over northwestern Mexico or the southwestern United States by Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.26 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rosa is expected to produce the following total rainfall accumulations through Wednesday: Baja California and northwestern Sonora: 3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches. Central and Southern Arizona: 2 to 4 inches. Isolated 6 inch totals are possible in the mountains of Central Arizona. Rest of the Desert Southwest, Central Rockies, and Great Basin: 1 to 2 inches, isolated 4 inches. These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash flooding. Dangerous debris flows and landslides are also possible in mountainous terrain. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by Monday morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by late Monday or Monday night. SURF: Swells generated by Rosa will affect portions of the coasts of southwestern Mexico, most of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula, and southern California through Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: number
public
storm
rosa
Tropical Storm Rosa Graphics
2018-10-01 04:34:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 01 Oct 2018 02:34:58 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 01 Oct 2018 02:34:58 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
rosa
tropical
Tropical Storm Rosa Forecast Discussion Number 24
2018-10-01 04:34:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Sep 30 2018 547 WTPZ45 KNHC 010234 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Rosa Discussion Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202018 800 PM PDT Sun Sep 30 2018 All of Rosa's associated deep convection is located within the northeastern quadrant of the circulation, moving out ahead of the center due to 25-30 kt of southwesterly shear. Subjective and objective intensity estimates have decreased since the previous advisory but encompass a wide range from about 45 kt to 65 kt. The initial intensity is lowered to 55 kt, the average of these estimates and similar to the latest UW-CIMSS SATCON estimate. Rosa's center is now over sub-24C waters, heading for waters around 21C along the Baja California coast, and the shear is forecast to increase further in the coming days. As a result, Rosa is expected to weaken below tropical storm intensity between 24-36 hours, after it has reached the Baja California coast. All of the cyclone's deep convection is likely to be sheared away soon thereafter, making Rosa a remnant low between 36-48 hours, if not sooner. The remnant low should dissipate over Arizona by 48 hours. Rosa continues to move north-northeastward, or 025/10 kt. The flow on the eastern side of a large mid-level trough located off the U.S. West Coast should continue to steer Rosa north-northeastward, with some acceleration beginning by Monday night. Although there are still some speed differences among the models, particularly between the faster GFS and slower ECMWF, the guidance remains tightly clustered overall, and the new NHC track forecast is very close to the multi-model consensus aids. Key Messages: 1. The main hazard expected from Rosa or its remnants is very heavy rainfall in Baja California, northwestern Sonora, and the U.S. Desert Southwest. These rains are expected to produce life-threatening flash flooding and debris flows in the deserts, and landslides in mountainous terrain. For more information about potential rainfall in that area, please see products from the Weather Prediction Center and your local NWS forecast office. 2. Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the central and northern Baja California peninsula on Monday, possibly spreading to the northern Gulf of California Monday night. Interests in those locations should monitor the progress of Rosa. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0300Z 26.0N 117.6W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 01/1200Z 27.3N 116.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 02/0000Z 29.1N 115.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 02/1200Z 31.5N 114.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...NEAR THE SONORA COAST 48H 03/0000Z 34.2N 112.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 72H 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
discussion
storm
rosa
Summary for Tropical Storm Rosa (EP5/EP202018)
2018-10-01 04:33:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...HEAVY RAINS FROM ROSA APPROACHING THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST... ...FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, AND LANDSLIDES POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE WESTERN UNITED STATES... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sun Sep 30 the center of Rosa was located near 26.0, -117.6 with movement NNE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
rosa
tropical
Tropical Storm Rosa Public Advisory Number 24
2018-10-01 04:33:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Sep 30 2018 213 WTPZ35 KNHC 010233 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rosa Advisory Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202018 800 PM PDT Sun Sep 30 2018 ...HEAVY RAINS FROM ROSA APPROACHING THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST... ...FLOODING, DEBRIS FLOWS, AND LANDSLIDES POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE WESTERN UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.0N 117.6W ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SSW OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Abreojos to Cabo San Quintin A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Bahia de los Angeles to San Felipe Interests elsewhere in the northern and central Baja California peninsula and northwestern Sonora should monitor the progress of Rosa. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rosa was located near latitude 26.0 North, longitude 117.6 West. Rosa is moving toward the north-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Rosa will approach the central and northern Baja California peninsula on Monday and then move across the peninsula into the northern Gulf of California Monday night. Rosa's remnants will then move across the Desert Southwest on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast through Monday night while Rosa approaches and moves over the northern Baja California peninsula. Rosa is expected to dissipate over northwestern Mexico or the southwestern United States by Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rosa is expected to produce the following total rainfall accumulations through Wednesday: Baja California and northwestern Sonora: 3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches. Central and Southern Arizona: 2 to 4 inches. Isolated 6 inch totals are possible in the mountains of Central Arizona. Rest of the Desert Southwest, Central Rockies, and Great Basin: 1 to 2 inches, isolated 4 inches. These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash flooding. Dangerous debris flows and landslides are also possible in mountainous terrain. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by Monday morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by late Monday or Monday night. SURF: Swells generated by Rosa will affect portions of the coasts of southwestern Mexico, most of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula, and southern California through Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1100 PM PDT. Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
public
storm
rosa
Sites : [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] next »