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Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast Advisory Number 2
2021-06-25 16:47:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 25 2021 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 251447 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 1500 UTC FRI JUN 25 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... *PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 102.5W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 102.5W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 102.1W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.9N 103.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.4N 104.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.9N 105.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.6N 106.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.5N 106.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.2N 107.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.1N 108.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.9N 109.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 102.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 25/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast Advisory Number 1
2021-06-25 10:42:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUN 25 2021 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 250842 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 0900 UTC FRI JUN 25 2021 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. INTERESTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ENRIQUE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 101.7W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 101.7W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 101.2W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.3N 103.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.9N 104.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.3N 105.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.9N 106.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.6N 106.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.2N 107.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 101.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Remnants of Claudette Forecast Discussion Number 18
2021-06-22 04:57:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Jun 21 2021 000 WTNT43 KNHC 220257 TCDAT3 Remnants Of Claudette Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032021 1100 PM AST Mon Jun 21 2021 Recent scatterometer data show that the system has opened up into a northwest to southeast-oriented trough. Therefore Claudette has dissipated as a tropical cyclone and this is the last advisory. The remnants of Claudette should continue to move rapidly east-northeastward and weaken over the next day or so. Additional information on the remnants of Claudette can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0300Z 39.0N 69.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Remnants of Claudette Forecast Advisory Number 18
2021-06-22 04:56:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 22 2021 000 WTNT23 KNHC 220256 TCMAT3 REMNANTS OF CLAUDETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032021 0300 UTC TUE JUN 22 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 69.0W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 25 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 240SE 210SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 69.0W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 70.3W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N 69.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON CLAUDETTE. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Claudette Forecast Discussion Number 17
2021-06-21 22:32:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021 000 WTNT43 KNHC 212032 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Claudette Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032021 500 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021 Claudette's low-level center passed over or near buoy 44014 (east of Virginia Beach) around 1400 UTC, and was associated with a sharp south-to-north wind shift and an estimated pressure of 1004 mb. In addition, buoy 41001, located in the southeastern quadrant of the cyclone's circulation, reported a 1-minute sustained wind of 39 kt at around 1600 UTC. Based on these data, the intensity has been increased to 40 kt, which is supported by a satellite classification of T2.5/35 kt from TAFB. The initial motion estimate is 060/25 kt. Claudette is expected to continue in a general east-northeastward direction through tonight ahead of a deep-layer trough and associated frontal system that is moving across the eastern United States. By early Tuesday, the cyclone is forecast move northeastward at a slightly faster forward speed over the colder waters of the far northwestern Atlantic. The new NHC track forecast is similar to the previous advisory track, and lies down the center of the tightly packed track model guidance suite. Claudette has likely peaked in intensity, and little change in strength is expected due to the cyclone currently moving over sub-23-deg-C sea-surface temperatures with even colder water ahead of the storm. Claudette is forecast to become a post-tropical extratropical low in the 12-24-hour period, but that transition could occur sooner. The latest official intensity forecast is similar to the previous advisory, and closely follows the intensity consensus models HCCA, FSSE, and IVCN. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/2100Z 37.5N 72.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 22/0600Z 39.5N 67.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 22/1800Z 42.8N 62.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 23/0600Z 46.0N 56.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
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