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Telenor raises FY forecast for growth in underlying EBITDA thanks to cost cuts

2020-10-21 09:25:00| Telecompaper Headlines

(Telecompaper) Telenor said it now expects to report a small increase in underlying EBITDA this year, after a return to growth in the third quarter. Organic subscription and traffic revenue is still expected to show a low single-digit decline as some countries in Asia, such as Thailand and Malaysia, are affected by lower revenues due to the coronavirus pandemic. 

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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Discussion Number 8

2020-10-21 04:36:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 20 2020 849 WTNT42 KNHC 210236 TCDAT2 Hurricane Epsilon Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 20 2020 The tropical cyclone has continued to become better organized on satellite images this evening, with the Central Dense Overcast becoming increasingly symmetric. Also the eye, which was intermittently apparent earlier in the evening, has become better defined. Epsilon is being upgraded to a hurricane, consistent with a Dvorak intensity estimate from SAB. This is the tenth hurricane of the season. Epsilon is moving northwestward, or around 310/11 kt, but beginning to turn more toward a west-northwestward heading. The hurricane is expected to move generally west-northwestward on Wednesday in response to a mid-level high pressure system to its north and northwest. In a couple of days, the high is forecast to shift eastward and this should cause Epsilon to turn toward the north-northwest and pass to the east of Bermuda, with the center coming closest to the island in around 48 hours. In 3 to 4 days, the hurricane should turn northward and move through a break in the subtropical ridge. By the end of the forecast period, the system should accelerate north-northeastward to northeastward as it begins to move into the higher-latitude westerlies. The official forecast track is very close to both the previous NHC prediction and the corrected multi-model dynamical consensus. Delta is expected to strengthen some more as it moves over marginally warm waters and within an environment of moderate vertical shear during the next day or so. In 36 to 48 hours, the oceanic heat content below the cyclone is expected to become very low which should limit further intensification. The official intensity forecast is a little above the latest model consensus. By day 5, the global models show the cyclone interacting and merging with a frontal zone so the system will likely be extratropical by that time. Key Message: 1. Epsilon is forecast to remain at hurricane strength by the time it makes its closest approach to Bermuda late Thursday. While it is too soon to determine the exact details of Epsilon's track and intensity near the island, tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda beginning Thursday with dangerous surf conditions also likely. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0300Z 28.5N 56.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 21/1200Z 29.2N 58.5W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 22/0000Z 29.9N 59.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 22/1200Z 31.0N 60.6W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 23/0000Z 32.2N 61.1W 75 KT 85 MPH 60H 23/1200Z 33.5N 61.6W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 24/0000Z 34.6N 62.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 25/0000Z 38.4N 58.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 26/0000Z 44.0N 45.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 8

2020-10-21 04:35:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 21 2020 564 WTNT22 KNHC 210235 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 0300 UTC WED OCT 21 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 56.8W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......300NE 90SE 50SW 300NW. 12 FT SEAS..800NE 360SE 520SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 56.8W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 56.3W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.2N 58.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. 34 KT...300NE 100SE 60SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.9N 59.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...250NE 120SE 80SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 31.0N 60.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...230NE 130SE 90SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 32.2N 61.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.5N 61.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 100SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 34.6N 62.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...220NE 150SE 120SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 38.4N 58.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 44.0N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 56.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Discussion Number 7

2020-10-20 22:49:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Oct 20 2020 000 WTNT42 KNHC 202049 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Epsilon Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 500 PM AST Tue Oct 20 2020 Epsilons structure has greatly improved this afternoon. Deep convection is wrapped more tightly around the center, and a small central dense overcast is evident in recent satellite imagery. Overall, the cyclone appears better organized and more tropical in nature as it fends off weak to moderate deep-layer shear and some dry mid-level air in its surrounding environment. There are even some hints of an eye-like feature trying to develop in recent visible and microwave imagery. A 14Z ASCAT-B overpass showed several 45-50 kt wind barbs in the northern semicircle of Epsilon, and its organization has improved since then. A T3.5 Dvorak classification from SAB supports raising the initial intensity to 55 kt with this advisory. Epsilon is a large cyclone with tropical-storm-force winds extending outward as far as 300 n mi in its northern semicircle. The cyclone has accelerated northwestward today, and its estimated motion is a somewhat uncertain 320/12 kt. Epsilon should continue to move northwestward or west-northwestward for the next several days as it is steered by a mid-level ridge to its north and east. The tightly clustered guidance envelope has shifted slightly westward and is faster with the storm motion through about 72 h, and these trends are reflected in the official NHC track forecast. Epsilon is now forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda late Thursday night before recurving ahead of an upper-level trough that should move over the western Atlantic this weekend. By day 5, Epsilon could be near the beginning of its extratropical transition as it races northeastward across the central Atlantic. Epsilon has strengthened today despite some negative environmental factors including weak to moderate deep-layer shear and dry air noted in water vapor imagery along the southwestern periphery of the storm. Given recent satellite trends and little expected change in the environmental conditions during the next day or so, additional strengthening appears likely. The official NHC track forecast lies well above the guidance consensus in the near term and most closely follows the SHIPS output, which brings Epsilon to hurricane strength overnight. As the cyclone gains latitude and moves over waters with lower oceanic heat content beyond 48 h, the intensity is expected to level off, and the NHC forecast better aligns with the ICON and HCCA aids through the rest of the forecast period. Key Message: 1. Epsilon is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength when it makes its closest approach to Bermuda late Thursday or early Friday. While it is too soon to determine the exact details of Epsilon's track and intensity near the island, tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda beginning Thursday with dangerous surf conditions also likely. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/2100Z 27.9N 55.8W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 21/0600Z 28.8N 57.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 21/1800Z 29.3N 59.6W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 22/0600Z 30.3N 60.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 22/1800Z 31.6N 61.2W 75 KT 85 MPH 60H 23/0600Z 33.0N 61.6W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 23/1800Z 34.0N 61.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 24/1800Z 36.7N 60.7W 75 KT 85 MPH 120H 25/1800Z 42.0N 51.0W 70 KT 80 MPH $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Brown

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Tropical Storm Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 7

2020-10-20 22:45:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 20 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 202045 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 2100 UTC TUE OCT 20 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 55.8W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......280NE 90SE 30SW 300NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 150SE 360SW 510NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 55.8W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 55.5W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.8N 57.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 30SE 10SW 60NW. 34 KT...300NE 100SE 60SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.3N 59.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...280NE 110SE 80SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 30.3N 60.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...230NE 130SE 90SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.6N 61.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 33.0N 61.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 100SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.0N 61.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...220NE 150SE 120SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 36.7N 60.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 42.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 55.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BROWN

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