je.st

Home › ida

Tag: ida

Tropical Storm IDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

2015-09-22 22:35:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2015 000 FONT15 KNHC 222035 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM IDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA

Tags: number speed wind storm

Summary for Tropical Storm IDA (AT5/AL102015)

2015-09-22 22:35:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...IDA FORECAST TO LINGER FOR SEVERAL DAYS... As of 5:00 PM AST Tue Sep 22 the center of IDA was located near 20.5, -47.8 with movement ESE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Tags: summary storm tropical ida

Tropical Storm IDA Public Advisory Number 18

2015-09-22 22:35:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST TUE SEP 22 2015 000 WTNT35 KNHC 222035 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 500 PM AST TUE SEP 22 2015 ...IDA FORECAST TO LINGER FOR SEVERAL DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 47.8W ABOUT 1010 MI...1625 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ida was located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 47.8 West. Ida is moving toward the east-southeast near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) primarily to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: number public storm advisory

Tropical Storm IDA Forecast Advisory Number 18

2015-09-22 22:35:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2015 000 WTNT25 KNHC 222035 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 47.8W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 180SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 47.8W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 48.0W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.2N 47.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 180SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.0N 46.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 190SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.5N 45.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 190SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.5N 45.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 200SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 24.5N 47.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 26.5N 46.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 47.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

Tags: number storm advisory tropical