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Summary for Hurricane PATRICIA (EP5/EP202015)

2015-10-22 10:32:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...PATRICIA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...LIKELY TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY... As of 4:00 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 the center of PATRICIA was located near 14.3, -102.3 with movement WNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 980 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.

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Hurricane PATRICIA Graphics

2015-10-22 08:08:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2015 06:08:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2015 03:07:30 GMT

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Summary for Hurricane PATRICIA (EP5/EP202015)

2015-10-22 07:56:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...PATRICIA BECOMES A HURRICANE... ...FURTHER STRENGTHENING ANTICIPATED... As of 1:00 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 the center of PATRICIA was located near 14.0, -101.5 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 987 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

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Hurricane PATRICIA Public Advisory Number 7A

2015-10-22 07:56:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 100 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 220555 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE PATRICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 100 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...PATRICIA BECOMES A HURRICANE... ...FURTHER STRENGTHENING ANTICIPATED... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.0N 101.5W ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA SAN TELMO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT PATRICIA HAS STRENGTHENED INTO A HURRICANE. AT 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PATRICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 101.5 WEST. PATRICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H). THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF PATRICIA SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH (120 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KM) FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB (29.15 INCHES). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY, AND ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. RAINFALL: PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES, OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF JALISCO, COLIMA, MICHOACAN AND GUERRERO LATER THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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