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Tropical Storm Karina Forecast Discussion Number 5

2020-09-14 04:31:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Sep 13 2020 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 140231 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Karina Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162020 800 PM PDT Sun Sep 13 2020 Karina's satellite presentation is not terribly impressive, with the deep convection sheared well south of what appears to be a somewhat elongated low-level center by 15 to 20 kt of northerly shear. The subjective Dvorak Final-T numbers have decreased a little in the last 6 hours, but overall a blend of the objective and subjective satellite estimates yields an intensity of 40 kt for this advisory. Karina only has a limited window for strengthening, with SSTs forecast to cool to 26C along the forecast track within 36 hours. With the shear forecast to persist during until the waters cool and the atmosphere dries out, the intensity guidance has trended downward again this cycle, and so has the NHC prediction, which is close to or a little above HCCA and higher than the simple consensus aids. Karina should become a remnant low in about 4 days and is expected to dissipate by day 5. The initial motion estimate is 285/11. Karina should be steered generally west-northwestward for the next several days, followed by a turn toward the west in the low-level flow by 96 hours. The new NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one and lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0300Z 18.2N 117.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 14/1200Z 18.7N 118.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 15/0000Z 19.4N 119.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 15/1200Z 20.2N 121.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 16/0000Z 21.0N 122.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 60H 16/1200Z 21.8N 123.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 72H 17/0000Z 22.3N 124.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 18/0000Z 22.5N 126.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: number discussion storm tropical

Tropical Storm Karina Forecast Advisory Number 5

2020-09-14 04:31:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 140231 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162020 0300 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 117.1W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 100SE 130SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 117.1W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 116.7W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.7N 118.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 90SE 110SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.4N 119.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 80SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.2N 121.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 21.0N 122.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.8N 123.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.3N 124.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 22.5N 126.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 117.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

Tags: number storm advisory tropical

Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Discussion Number 28

2020-09-14 04:30:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 140230 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 Rene continues to produced puffs of deep convection that are continually being sheared away by nearly 30 kt of westerly shear. These brief convective bursts have not been sufficiently organized to warrant a Dvorak classification for about 12 hours, so if the convective organization does not increase soon, Rene could become a remnant low tonight. Continued shear and a very dry mid-level environment should result in Rene's remnants dissipating by 60 hours, if not sooner. Rene's forward speed has slowed since the last advisory, with a westward drift of 270/02 the current estimate. The shallow cyclone should accelerate west-southwestward or southwestward in the low-level flow by 24 hours and continue on that general motion until dissipation. The new NHC track forecast is adjusted south of the previous one toward the new multi-model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0300Z 27.2N 47.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 14/1200Z 27.3N 48.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 15/0000Z 26.9N 49.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 15/1200Z 26.2N 50.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/0000Z 25.5N 51.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: number discussion tropical depression

Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Advisory Number 28

2020-09-14 04:30:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 140230 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 0300 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 47.9W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 47.9W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 47.8W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 27.3N 48.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 26.9N 49.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 26.2N 50.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 25.5N 51.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 47.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

Tags: number advisory tropical depression

Men's Footwear in Egypt - Sector Overview, Brand Shares, Market Size and Forecast to 2024 (adjusted for COVID-19 impact)

2020-09-14 02:00:00| Apparel & textile industry market research - from just-style.com

GlobalData's Apparel database showing the trends in the market and sectors by value and volume. It also reveals the brand leaders by market share in 2019 in each of the sectors as well as total appare

Tags: size market brand impact

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