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Tropical Storm Nicholas Forecast Advisory Number 9
2021-09-14 10:54:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 000 WTNT24 KNHC 140854 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021 0900 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SABINE PASS TO CAMERON...LOUISIANA. THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM MATAGORDA TO FREEPORT. THE STORM SURGE WARNING FROM PORT O'CONNOR TO SARGENT INCLUDING MATAGORDA BAY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM SOUTH OF MATAGORDA TO PORT O'CONNOR. THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FROM FREEPORT TO SAN LUIS PASS. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM PORT O'CONNOR TO NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SARGENT TO SABINE PASS INCLUDING GALVESTON BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MATAGORDA TO CAMERON A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABINE PASS TO RUTHERFORD BEACH LOUISIANA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICHOLAS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 95.6W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 120SE 60SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 95.6W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 95.7W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 29.9N 95.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 30.3N 94.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 30.4N 93.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 30.4N 92.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.5N 92.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 95.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Hurricane Nicholas Forecast Advisory Number 8
2021-09-14 05:22:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 252 WTNT24 KNHC 140321 CCA TCMAT4 HURRICANE NICHOLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021 0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 CORRECTED FOR TROPICAL STORM WARNING SUMMARY CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WATCH SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS...IS DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS...TEXAS...IS DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM PORT O'CONNOR NORTH TO FREEPORT, TEXAS HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO SABINE PASS * GALVESTON BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN ANTONIO BAY...AND MATAGORDA BAY A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORT O'CONNOR TO FREEPORT TEXAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR * NORTH OF FREEPORT TO SABINE PASS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABINE PASS TO RUTHERFORD BEACH LOUISIANA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICHOLAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 95.8W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 95.8W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 96.0W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.6N 95.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.2N 94.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 100SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 30.3N 93.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 30.3N 93.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.3N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.5N 92.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 95.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane Nicholas Forecast Discussion Number 8
2021-09-14 05:05:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021 019 WTNT44 KNHC 140305 TCDAT4 Hurricane Nicholas Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142021 1000 PM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021 Very recently, a WeatherFlow Station at Matagorda Bay, Texas, reported sustained winds of 66 kt with a gust to 83 kt. Based on this observation, Nicholas is being upgraded to a hurricane on this advisory, and a Hurricane Warning is issued. No additional strengthening is anticipated until the system makes landfall, and gradual weakening is expected during the next 2-3 days while Nicholas moves over southeastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana. Nicholas is moving north-northeastward, or around 020/10 kt. The system is currently moving through a weakness in the mid-level subtropical ridge. Within 12 to 24 hours, after Nicholas has moved inland, the ridge is forecast to weaken and leave Nicholas in an area of light steering currents. As a result, during the next couple of days, the cyclone is expected to turn eastward and slow to a crawl near southwestern Louisiana. The official forecast is slower than the previous one, but not as slow as the new model consensus. Key Messages: 1. Heavy rainfall will impact portions of southeastern Texas, Louisiana, and southern Mississippi through the middle of the week. Significant rainfall amounts are expected, potentially resulting in areas of life-threatening flash and urban flooding, along the eastern Texas coast into southwestern Louisiana. Minor to isolated major river flooding is also possible in smaller river basins and urban areas. 2. There is the danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation along the coast of Texas from Port Aransas to Sabine Pass. Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by local officials. 3. Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area and Tropical storm conditions are expected with the Tropical Storm Warning area along the Texas coast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0300Z 28.4N 95.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 14/1200Z 29.6N 95.4W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND 24H 15/0000Z 30.2N 94.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 36H 15/1200Z 30.3N 93.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 48H 16/0000Z 30.3N 93.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 60H 16/1200Z 30.3N 93.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 72H 17/0000Z 30.5N 92.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Hurricane Nicholas Forecast Advisory Number 8
2021-09-14 05:01:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 000 WTNT24 KNHC 140301 TCMAT4 HURRICANE NICHOLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021 0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WATCH SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS...IS DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS...TEXAS...IS DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM PORT O'CONNOR NORTH TO FREEPORT, TEXAS HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO SABINE PASS * GALVESTON BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN ANTONIO BAY...AND MATAGORDA BAY A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR.. * PORT O'CONNOR TO FREEPORT TEXAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TO SABINE PASS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABINE PASS TO RUTHERFORD BEACH LOUISIANA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICHOLAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 95.8W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 95.8W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 96.0W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.6N 95.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.2N 94.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 100SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 30.3N 93.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 30.3N 93.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.3N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.5N 92.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 95.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Nicholas Forecast Discussion Number 7
2021-09-13 22:46:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021 000 WTNT44 KNHC 132045 CCA TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Nicholas Discussion Number 7...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142021 400 PM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021 Corrected third paragraph typo Earlier reconnaissance aircraft flight-level wind data, along with recent Doppler radar velocity data from Brownsville and Corpus Christi, indicate that the inner-core wind field has still not consolidated into a single low-level wind center. High-resolution 1-minute GOES-16 visible satellite imagery, radar data, and reconnaissance wind data all indicate at least three small but very tight swirls revolving counter-clockwise around a mean center. An eye feature has tried to form on multiple occasions, only to dissipate after less than half an hour. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft sampled the most of the northeastern quadrant of Nicholas' larger circulation this morning and afternoon, and measured 63-67-kt 850-mb flight-level winds, which roughly equals 53-54-kt surface winds in that quadrant; the aircraft also found SFMR surface winds of 50-51 kt in the same area. In addition, Doppler velocity data from Corpus Christi and Brownsville have been indicating average velocities of 59-60 kt between 9,000-10,000 ft near the center, which also equates to about 53-54-kt surface winds. Based on these wind data, the advisory intensity has been increased to 55 kt. The initial motion estimate is 015/10 kt. The new NHC model guidance has come into better agreement on Nicholas moving toward the north- northeast until landfall occurs, now that the 12Z ECMWF model has made a significant eastward shift closer to the previous and current GFS and HWRF model solutions. After landfall, Nicholas is expected to move around the northwestern periphery of a deep-layer subtropical ridge that is oriented east-to-west across the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico. The latest guidance has continued to trend more eastward through 24 hours, followed by a more southward or right-of-track trend thereafter. As a result, the new NHC track forecast has followed suit, and has also been shifted a little to the right of the previous advisory track, and lies between the tightly packed consensus models to the west and the GFS model to the east. Doppler velocity data from the Houston WSR-88D radar has shown a large swath of hurricane-force wind speeds in the northeastern quadrant of Nicholas' circulation above 12,000 ft during the past couple of hours, with brief appearances of average velocities of 80-100 kt at high altitudes. Thus, there is an abundance of large-scale cyclonic vorticity available for another burst of intense convection to tap into, which could allow Nicholas to approach hurricane strength by landfall. This would most likely occur tonight during the convective maximum period near landfall where increased frictional convergence along the coast could aid in the development of convection on the west side of the circulation. After landfall, rapid weakening is expected owing to land interaction, strong southwesterly vertical wind shear in excess of 30 kt, and entrainment of mid-level dry air from the southern Plains. As a result of these negative conditions, Nicholas is forecast to weaken to tropical depression by late Tuesday and degenerate into a remnant low on Wednesday. Key Messages: 1. Heavy rainfall will impact portions of southeastern Texas, Louisiana, and southern Mississippi through the middle of the week. Significant rainfall amounts are possible, potentially resulting in areas of life-threatening flash and urban flooding, especially in highly urbanized metropolitan areas. Minor to isolated moderate river flooding is also expected, along with isolated major river flooding across smaller river basins and urban areas. 2. There is the danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation along the coast of Texas from Port Aransas to Sabine Pass. Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by local officials. 3. Nicholas is forecast to approach the middle Texas coast as a strong tropical storm this evening, and could be near hurricane intensity at landfall. Tropical storm conditions are expected along portions of the middle and upper Texas coasts this evening and tonight, with hurricane conditions possible from Port Aransas to San Luis Pass. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/2100Z 27.4N 96.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 14/0600Z 28.7N 96.1W 60 KT 70 MPH...ON THE COAST 24H 14/1800Z 29.9N 95.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 36H 15/0600Z 30.4N 94.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 48H 15/1800Z 30.9N 92.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 60H 16/0600Z 31.1N 91.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND 72H 16/1800Z 32.0N 90.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
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