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Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-07-13 22:33:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 13 2020 304 WTPZ21 KNHC 132033 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 2100 UTC MON JUL 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 112.6W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 0 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 112.6W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.9W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.7N 114.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.8N 117.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.8N 120.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.8N 124.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.6N 127.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.5N 131.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 112.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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US Shale Oil Production Forecast to Hit Two-year Low in August
2020-07-13 21:25:00| OGI
The biggest decline is forecast for the Eagle Ford Shale, where oil production is expected to slide by about 23,000 bbl/d to 1.1 million bbl/d, the lowest level since August 2017.
Tags: august
low
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production
Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristina Forecast Discussion Number 26
2020-07-13 04:40:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 130239 TCDEP5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristina Discussion Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052020 800 PM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020 Cristina has lacked deep convection for more than 12 hours and is now a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds. The system has therefore become a remnant low and this is the last NHC advisory. The estimated intensity is 30 kt, assuming some spin down has occurred since the last advisory. Cristina is moving westward near 10 kt, and low-level easterly flow should steer the remnant low on this general heading for the next few days. The cyclone is moving over sea surface temperatures of about 23 deg C that will prevent the redevelopment of organized convection. Cristina should continue to gradually spin down during the next 2-3 days until it opens into a trough and dissipates. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0300Z 20.7N 126.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 13/1200Z 21.0N 128.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 14/0000Z 21.5N 130.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/1200Z 22.0N 133.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 15/0000Z 22.6N 136.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 15/1200Z 22.9N 139.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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cristina
Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristina Forecast Advisory Number 26
2020-07-13 04:38:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON JUL 13 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 130238 TCMEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052020 0300 UTC MON JUL 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 126.5W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 126.5W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 125.9W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 21.0N 128.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 21.5N 130.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 22.0N 133.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 22.6N 136.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.9N 139.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 126.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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cristina
Tropical Storm Cristina Forecast Discussion Number 25
2020-07-12 22:32:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 122032 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Cristina Discussion Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052020 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020 Cristina has been devoid of deep convection for several hours. The cyclone's circulation now consists of a large swirl of low- to mid-level clouds as it continues to move over waters of about 23 C and into a progressively drier and more stable surrounding atmosphere. Although intensity estimates continue to steadily decease, the vortex is taking some additional time to spin down, as indicated by a recent ASCAT-A overpass that showed maximum winds of 35 kt over a portion of the cyclone. Based on the ASCAT data, Cristina's intensity is being maintained at 35 kt for this advisory. Given the environmental conditions, it is unlikely that deep convection will redevelop near Cristina's center, and the cyclone is expected to become a remnant low soon. The associated winds will continue to decrease over the next couple of days and the low is forecast to open into a trough within a few days. Cristina is moving westward at 11 kt and this general motion is expected to continue until dissipation, as the system is steered by the low level easterlies. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/2100Z 20.7N 125.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 13/0600Z 21.0N 127.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 13/1800Z 21.4N 129.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/0600Z 22.0N 132.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 14/1800Z 22.5N 135.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 15/0600Z 23.0N 137.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
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